Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecd5ae8582deeecfdb4e0b48d4aa871d6424e2d1f10fcd617dc28ec5bdbcb651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $583,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $719,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 37c | 38,774$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,574.41 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 33,185$19,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,453.34 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Spirit | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,800 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 16,905$8,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,452.54 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 12,111$6,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,142.99 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 48c | 11,731$5,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,645.71 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 37c | 11,334$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,169.39 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 10,700$8,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,187.46 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 9,511$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.9 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 9,036$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.3 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3272backed Team Spirit | 40c | 8,545$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Team Falcons | 55c | 8,423$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.87 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Team Falcons | 46c | 8,406$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,513.48 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 42c | 8,400$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.32 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Spirit | 52c | 8,131$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.86 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 7,752$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.53 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Team Falcons | 52c | 7,423$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.61 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 6,965$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.03 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Spirit | 13c | 6,856$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.62 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit | 59c | 6,750$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.38 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 54c | 5,742$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.41 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 5,475$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.54 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit | 65c | 5,160$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.36 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 40c | 4,267$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.31 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Team Falcons | 51c | 4,183$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.91 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 63c | 4,070$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 3,962$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.4 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Team Spirit | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…0ddabacked Team Falcons | 67c | 3,000$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 2,981$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 2,921$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.42 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Team Falcons | 50c | 2,907$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.17 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Spirit | 13c | 2,893$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 2,866$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Falcons | 69c | 2,706$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.96 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Falcons | 53c | 2,551$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.07 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 2,475$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.81 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f95…15d7backed Team Spirit | 8c | 2,388$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Team Falcons | 43c | 2,308$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.8 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Team Falcons | 51c | 2,289$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.43 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 47c | 2,116$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…6a12backed Team Spirit | 25c | 2,111$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.51 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 2,045$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.64 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Spirit | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 1,968$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.51 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,963$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.3 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,960$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.61 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,950$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.03 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Team Spirit | 40c | 1,937$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.75 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Spirit | 42c | 1,924$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.78 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Team Spirit | 18c | 1,800$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,750$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 1,734$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.96 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Team Spirit | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Spirit | 39c | 1,651$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.01 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,639$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.95 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Spirit | 35c | 1,622$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.29 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,611$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 1,610$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.49 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,551$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Team Spirit | 40c | 1,548$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…db43backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.57 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,500$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.48 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 47c | 1,475$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.45 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Spirit | 63c | 1,416$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.38 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,407$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.58 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,238$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.18 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Spirit | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Spirit | 49c | 1,219$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit | 53c | 1,200$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.93 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,171$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.05 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 1,149$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…bcc8backed Team Spirit | 5c | 1,145$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,137$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 41c | 1,128$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.18 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…5521backed Team Spirit | 35c | 1,113$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.97 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,111$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.27 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,110$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.35 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,038$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.91 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,015$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.73 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 1,005$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.06 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 1,000$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.01 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Spirit | 36c | 999.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Falcons | 34c | 999.99$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.96 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Spirit | 66c | 999.99$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.99 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 988.74$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.94 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 986.27$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.37 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…1a78backed Team Spirit | 67c | 963.91$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Spirit | 38c | 955.26$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.82 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Team Spirit | 24c | 930.05$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.97 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit | 42c | 907.82$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.09 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Spirit | 61c | 905.77$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.41 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…7288backed Team Spirit | 67c | 879.55$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Team Falcons | 58c | 864.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.2 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Spirit | 37c | 856.97$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.12 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.