TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1365…c82a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,844
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT98956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 989 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,264Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$2,637.02
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,567.21
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,116.77
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,124.9
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$637.56
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$668.47
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,084Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$1,340.32
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$1,709.94
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.96
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.49
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$344.67
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$449.59
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.17
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$447.66
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.34
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.44
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,172Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$568.4
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,570.98
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$632.1
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,487Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+83%+$2,063.24
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,448Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,447.83
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+181.3%+$231.31
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,824Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$646.48
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.17
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$456.19
Showing 25 of 989 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT61456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 614 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$1,315.78
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,248.55
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,834.14
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$412.99
Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked Klim Sani4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$967Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$293.73
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.67
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,813.31
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,708Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$2,234.81
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,417Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,361.99
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$7,421.97
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$4,810.43
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,547Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,786.86
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,981Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$2,019.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,657Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$771.33
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+133%+$1,108.43
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+109%+$1,314.49
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,989Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$2,022.82
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,710Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$3,084.53
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,903Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$1,129.11
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,560Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$2,209.77
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$768Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$768.31
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$797.77
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,218Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$717.16
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$1,199.68
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,062.33
Showing 25 of 614 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT15053.3%80 W · 70 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 150 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.6
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.06
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$768.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,200
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,372.01
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,049.98
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$8,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,216.07
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,408Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$1,283.18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,721Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+88%+$1,514.61
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$242.49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$305.35
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$228.39
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,872Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,872.38
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37,187.87
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15,526Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$12,168.58
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$847.29
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,514.12
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,742.01
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,505Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$5,219.56
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$7,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,213.19
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,046Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$2,060.16
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$865.26
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.9
Showing 25 of 150 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17,860
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,200
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,029
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,550
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,870
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19,213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8,234.15
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10,250
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.8
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$455
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,346
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.54
World Championships: USA vs. Germanybacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$510
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,809Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$974.21
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.92
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,941Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$3,028.6
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4,285.64
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,070Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$930
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.3
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.7%+$3.47
Spread: Suns (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.21
Spread: Suns (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12
Spread: Suns (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.49
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.49
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.08
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+244.8%+$31.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.