Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c921001a249f62d16dffc4ab5b06d0a5952cc1eeb990be94d5c32ea294e8d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RE.Ariseof RE.Arise, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed RE.Arise | 34c | 20,078$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,317.91 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Spirit Academy | 65c | 12,078$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,850.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit Academy | 69c | 9,069$6,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,232.15 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked RE.Arise | 33c | 4,336$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.26 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Spirit Academy | 70c | 3,240$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.44 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Spirit Academy | 40c | 2,682$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.24 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Spirit Academy | 72c | 2,487$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.05 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked RE.Arise | 41c | 2,300$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.42 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Spirit Academy | 65c | 2,267$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.54 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Spirit Academy | 71c | 2,200$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.1 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Spirit Academy | 4c | 2,113$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed RE.Arise | 36c | 1,946$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.3 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Spirit Academy | 66c | 1,891$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.55 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed RE.Arise | 37c | 1,860$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.38 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed RE.Arise | 25c | 1,601$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.08 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed RE.Arise | 45c | 1,415$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked RE.Arise | 73c | 1,382$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.83 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked RE.Arise | 28c | 1,370$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.67 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RE.Arise | 41c | 1,189$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.25 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked RE.Arise | 28c | 1,002$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.15 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Spirit Academy | 65c | 994.69$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.05 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 947.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.23 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked RE.Arise | 59c | 931.34$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 911.89$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.14 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed RE.Arise | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Spirit Academy | 71c | 850.27$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.22 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed RE.Arise | 30c | 833.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.67 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked RE.Arise | 25c | 820.7$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.53 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RE.Arise | 44c | 750.29$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.67 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed RE.Arise | 29c | 687.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.27 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked RE.Arise | 25c | 608$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.49 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 558.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.59 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed RE.Arise | 56c | 522$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.41 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5cc0backed Spirit Academy | 65c | 518$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.7 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Spirit Academy | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked RE.Arise | 60c | 498.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.38 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…e195backed Spirit Academy | 17c | 444.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…babcbacked Spirit Academy | 66c | 377.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…ef1fbacked RE.Arise | 80c | 375.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked RE.Arise | 33c | 350$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 327.29$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.47 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked RE.Arise | 26c | 276.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.71 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked RE.Arise | 36c | 273$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.84 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…7d5fbacked Spirit Academy | 65c | 255.65$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.95 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Spirit Academy | 65c | 250.07$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed RE.Arise | 28c | 224.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked RE.Arise | 37c | 213.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…6838backed RE.Arise | 31c | 212.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +7.9wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…9f07backed RE.Arise | 20c | 207.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked RE.Arise | 74c | 199.88$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked RE.Arise | 27c | 198.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.69 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed RE.Arise | 43c | 196$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.26 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RE.Arise | 28c | 192.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 187$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 185.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed RE.Arise | 32c | 183.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed Spirit Academy | 69c | 180.13$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked Spirit Academy | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…1b78backed Spirit Academy | 18c | 165$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked RE.Arise | 57c | 163$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed RE.Arise | 32c | 161.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.78 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Spirit Academy | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Spirit Academy | 74c | 154.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed RE.Arise | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Spirit Academy | 64c | 148.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Spirit Academy | 70c | 142$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked RE.Arise | 36c | 137.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked RE.Arise | 36c | 134$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked RE.Arise | 28c | 133.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Spirit Academy | 70c | 130$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked RE.Arise | 47c | 120.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed RE.Arise | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Spirit Academy | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Spirit Academy | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…86babacked Spirit Academy | 51c | 117.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Spirit Academy | 69c | 109.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked RE.Arise | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed RE.Arise | 26c | 102.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Spirit Academy | 68c | 101.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed Spirit Academy | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed RE.Arise | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed RE.Arise | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…cc7abacked RE.Arise | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 82.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked RE.Arise | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked RE.Arise | 50c | 79.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked RE.Arise | 39c | 79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Spirit Academy | 66c | 74.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Spirit Academy | 27c | 69.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Spirit Academy | 66c | 63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked RE.Arise | 26c | 61.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked RE.Arise | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0db…d489backed RE.Arise | 34c | 59.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked RE.Arise | 28c | 58.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked RE.Arise | 32c | 57.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…9d88backed RE.Arise | 59c | 57.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BRE.Arise won
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.