Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ae47e7a4c2972c0aa5b28f4ad8338789edd7062aa5f840105c3ec751a716e28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof RE.Arise, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Spirit Academy | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.96 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Spirit Academy | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.97 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked RE.Arise | 47c | 5,531$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.02 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked RE.Arise | 50c | 5,422$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.56 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 5,169$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.9 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed RE.Arise | 46c | 5,094$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.19 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed RE.Arise | 46c | 4,541$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.03 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed RE.Arise | 41c | 3,478$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.25 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked RE.Arise | 35c | 3,305$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Spirit Academy | 60c | 2,136$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.53 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Spirit Academy | 63c | 2,050$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.5 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed RE.Arise | 1c | 2,041$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked RE.Arise | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed RE.Arise | 50c | 1,610$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.88 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed RE.Arise | 50c | 1,352$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.29 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RE.Arise | 26c | 1,256$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.13 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked RE.Arise | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked RE.Arise | 18c | 983$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.84 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed RE.Arise | 47c | 792.48$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.26 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 737.06$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.07 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 733.7$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Spirit Academy | 68c | 675.06$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.07 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…fc37backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 634.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed RE.Arise | 51c | 565.48$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.31 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed RE.Arise | 41c | 552.83$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.53 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked RE.Arise | 24c | 530.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed RE.Arise | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked RE.Arise | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 430.26$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.09 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed Spirit Academy | 64c | 403.59$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.29 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked RE.Arise | 52c | 336.44$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed RE.Arise | 49c | 302.8$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.18 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked RE.Arise | 36c | 268.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed RE.Arise | 42c | 239.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 210.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed RE.Arise | 49c | 205.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked RE.Arise | 53c | 187.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1732…4f8cbacked RE.Arise | 53c | 179.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked RE.Arise | 42c | 172.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked RE.Arise | 48c | 152.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed RE.Arise | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed RE.Arise | 50c | 128.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 125.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed RE.Arise | 34c | 120.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7c…8b29backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 102.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 148 | 61.5%91 W · 57 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 98.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked RE.Arise | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked RE.Arise | 52c | 98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed RE.Arise | 53c | 97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked RE.Arise | 45c | 95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RE.Arise | 22c | 93.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed RE.Arise | 40c | 92.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Spirit Academy | 55c | 91.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…17bdbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 89.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed RE.Arise | 39c | 84.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed RE.Arise | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 106 | 62.3%66 W · 40 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed RE.Arise | 35c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Spirit Academy | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…2e87backed RE.Arise | 50c | 69.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked Spirit Academy | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RE.Arise | 44c | 54.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed RE.Arise | 52c | 54.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…6be1backed Spirit Academy | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 49.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626a…3d36backed Spirit Academy | 66c | 49.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked RE.Arise | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…2586backed Spirit Academy | 64c | 40.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed Spirit Academy | 64c | 40.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Spirit Academy | 65c | 37.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2df6…ef98backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 37.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +7.4wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…610bbacked Spirit Academy | 55c | 32.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 30.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | -16.0wins | -0.37per pick | 44cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 24-0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed RE.Arise | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed RE.Arise | 53c | 25.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…8b19backed RE.Arise | 50c | 24.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked RE.Arise | 54c | 21.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed RE.Arise | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ee…66ebbacked Spirit Academy | 70c | 18.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Spirit Academy | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…e960backed Spirit Academy | 66c | 15.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BRE.Arise won
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 WinnerRE.Arise won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.