Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f7acbadd813b88085c81c9c445f60f511a5af7b2a20a78b5db99d4b492e5da9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RE.Ariseof RE.Arise, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 14,282$6,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,847.72 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked RE.Arise | 42c | 10,634$4,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,191.66 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Spirit Academy | 22c | 9,756$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.18 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 6,792$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.17 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Spirit Academy | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.89 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed RE.Arise | 41c | 5,250$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.1 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…5deabacked Spirit Academy | 1c | 5,174$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed RE.Arise | 37c | 3,496$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.32 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Spirit Academy | 60c | 3,260$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.02 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked Spirit Academy | 5c | 3,178$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 11cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Spirit Academy | 30c | 2,561$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.4 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked RE.Arise | 43c | 2,318$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.78 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed RE.Arise | 42c | 2,007$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.06 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed RE.Arise | 66c | 1,988$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.13 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked RE.Arise | 62c | 1,969$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.98 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Spirit Academy | 70c | 1,863$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.15 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Spirit Academy | 68c | 1,735$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.71 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Spirit Academy | 54c | 1,700$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.85 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…1ba2backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 1,609$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.96 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RE.Arise | 55c | 1,550$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.26 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked RE.Arise | 31c | 1,390$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.2 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked RE.Arise | 40c | 1,376$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.96 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked RE.Arise | 46c | 1,292$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.33 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Spirit Academy | 51c | 1,196$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.07 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…babcbacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 1,046$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed RE.Arise | 37c | 999.98$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.99 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked RE.Arise | 37c | 920.02$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.3 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Spirit Academy | 6c | 916.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -15.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -66%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RE.Arise | 30c | 904.49$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.8 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Spirit Academy | 46c | 901.42$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.44 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 832.1$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.21 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked RE.Arise | 71c | 830.12$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.98 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Spirit Academy | 41c | 812$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.1 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Spirit Academy | 33c | 759.42$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.75 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spirit Academy | 37c | 754.47$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.07 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Spirit Academy | 42c | 720.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Spirit Academy | 48c | 691.82$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…6838backed RE.Arise | 26c | 686.63$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.27 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +7.9wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked RE.Arise | 33c | 683.48$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.93 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit Academy | 46c | 656.26$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.42 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 636.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed RE.Arise | 32c | 625.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b3…b809backed Spirit Academy | 7c | 612.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed RE.Arise | 33c | 606.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.21 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…fc37backed Spirit Academy | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 602.92$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.96 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Spirit Academy | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed RE.Arise | 39c | 600$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.25 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Spirit Academy | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Spirit Academy | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Spirit Academy | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Spirit Academy | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed RE.Arise | 64c | 592.17$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spirit Academy | 42c | 572.91$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.67 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked RE.Arise | 37c | 522.66$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.35 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Spirit Academy | 68c | 520.58$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.72 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Spirit Academy | 40c | 514.11$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.59 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked RE.Arise | 56c | 507.11$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.62 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked RE.Arise | 27c | 505$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.65 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5cc0backed RE.Arise | 44c | 500$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Spirit Academy | 80c | 499.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…186cbacked Spirit Academy | 72c | 488.79$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.04 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed RE.Arise | 63c | 486$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…00b6backed Spirit Academy | 62c | 450$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed RE.Arise | 45c | 448.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.62 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…74c5backed Spirit Academy | 38c | 444.44$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked RE.Arise | 44c | 440.77$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.6 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Spirit Academy | 13c | 428.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed RE.Arise | 19c | 402.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.19 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Spirit Academy | 41c | 390.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed RE.Arise | 28c | 365.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.58 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed Spirit Academy | 72c | 363.73$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.82 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked RE.Arise | 53c | 351.45$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.65 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…0c9fbacked Spirit Academy | 49c | 350.13$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 337.28$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01b…b282backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…86babacked Spirit Academy | 79c | 317.34$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked RE.Arise | 20c | 308.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.67 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed RE.Arise | 80c | 303.78$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…e684backed RE.Arise | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked Spirit Academy | 38c | 299.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed RE.Arise | 70c | 287.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 276.8$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed RE.Arise | 44c | 274.8$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.8 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cf…9ab4backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 272.28$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Spirit Academy | 10c | 260$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 249.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1764…7acbbacked Spirit Academy | 21c | 238.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…9340backed Spirit Academy | 73c | 237.01$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6609…4e73backed Spirit Academy | 30c | 236.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…358fbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 233.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Spirit Academy | 70c | 230$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…a00dbacked Spirit Academy | 6c | 225.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed RE.Arise | 32c | 221.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Spirit Academy | 64c | 220$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed RE.Arise | 32c | 218.51$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.19 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed RE.Arise | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed RE.Arise | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 WinnerRE.Arise won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.