TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95f5…ecf5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moez Echargui vs Hugo Dellienbacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.6
Winston-Salem Open: Luca Van Assche vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$143.26
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.34
ITF M15 Mar del Plata Men: Tobia Grandinetti vs Santiago De la Fuentebacked Santiago De la Fuente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.02
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henri Squire vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked David Jorda Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$227.01
ITF W15 Brasov Women: Iulia Maria Buculei vs Bianca Elena Barbulescubacked Iulia Maria Buculei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.14
Set Handicap: Dolehide (-1.5) vs Podrez (+1.5)backed Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$432.28
US Open, Qualification ATP: Stefano Napolitano vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$172.43
US Open, Qualification WTA: Erika Andreeva vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Mariam Bolkvadze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$264.11
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damasbacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.88
Roehampton 2: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossibacked Leonardo Rossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$219.48
ITF M25 Slovenj Gradec Men: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jonas Gundackerbacked Jonas Gundacker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$88.59
ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Nikita Mashtakov vs Marcel Zielinskibacked Nikita Mashtakov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$108.12
Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.62
Set Handicap: Gaston (-1.5) vs Jong (+1.5)backed Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$308.18
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Ana Grubor vs Elsa Bonellibacked Elsa Bonelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.42
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Anastasija Cvetkovic vs Mara Guthbacked Mara Guth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.36
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Anton Matusevich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.66
ITF M15 Lambermont Men: Jack Loge vs Stijn Paardekooperbacked Jack Loge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$90.24
Quebec City: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Asschebacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.36
ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Bastian Mallabacked Bastian Malla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.44
Sion: Benjamin Hassan vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+129.4%+$478.85
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Patrick Bradybacked Patrick Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.21
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$42.36
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA - Map 1 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$128.06
Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stagebacked Damajuana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.31
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.97
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Endless Journey - Map 2 Winnerbacked Endless Journey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+192.4%+$80.84
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly - Map 1 Winnerbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$183.8
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.4
Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs FORZE Reload (+1.5)backed Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$233.51
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.28
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 Winnerbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.9
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.6
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Color (+1.5)backed Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.72
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.86
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.54
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+118%+$260.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Deer Gaming vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.37
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.73
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.