Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e1dd95570afa9725f9ecef367b5ecca2428792714479bfb8bf522937f5ec252
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 38c | 17,228$6,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,490.8 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 63c | 3,994$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 2,833$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.27 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 63c | 2,399$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.5 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Under | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 61c | 1,278$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.49 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Under | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Under | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Under | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked Under | 70c | 811.42$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 694.51$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.21 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a2…c02bbacked Over | 42c | 694.01$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed Under | 63c | 676.49$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 63c | 503.72$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…a00dbacked Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Under | 65c | 432$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 62c | 314$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 66c | 141.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 54c | 135.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 101$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 66c | 95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 60c | 80.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 60c | 75.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed Over | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…aa7cbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Under | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 60c | 26.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Under | 60c | 21.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)Sentinels won
- Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InSentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 1 WinnerSentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.