Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19ef44b42f83d6b0967dac4ea2a72dcc6be6ecc90b084626859d08f469f8fde8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Sentinels, 2GAME Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 2GAME Esports | 52c | 17,105$8,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,825.37 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Sentinels | 48c | 2,474$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sentinels | 48c | 2,390$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.52 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sentinels | 48c | 2,027$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.34 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels | 49c | 1,856$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.4 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sentinels | 49c | 1,849$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.49 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Sentinels | 48c | 1,230$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.57 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sentinels | 47c | 1,035$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.95 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Sentinels | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Sentinels | 49c | 688$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.54 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Sentinels | 49c | 567.35$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.35 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…a00dbacked 2GAME Esports | 37c | 500$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3927…8ae1backed Sentinels | 41c | 468.55$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sentinels | 62c | 451.17$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.16 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed Sentinels | 48c | 416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x907f…27dabacked 2GAME Esports | 59c | 340$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Sentinels | 48c | 323.88$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 2GAME Esports | 36c | 303.27$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Sentinels | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Sentinels | 41c | 288.49$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.42 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked 2GAME Esports | 36c | 274.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed 2GAME Esports | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Sentinels | 40c | 251.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.08 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed 2GAME Esports | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Sentinels | 71c | 225.02$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Sentinels | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Sentinels | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Sentinels | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed 2GAME Esports | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Sentinels | 42c | 166.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0f79backed 2GAME Esports | 59c | 161.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Sentinels | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…8fecbacked Sentinels | 54c | 115.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Sentinels | 47c | 104.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked 2GAME Esports | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sentinels | 63c | 99.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Sentinels | 42c | 92.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Sentinels | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Sentinels | 49c | 66.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed Sentinels | 43c | 51.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed 2GAME Esports | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Sentinels | 42c | 50.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed 2GAME Esports | 59c | 47.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Sentinels | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Sentinels | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Sentinels | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed 2GAME Esports | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…4079backed Sentinels | 49c | 33.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x758d…5d9ebacked 2GAME Esports | 53c | 31.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Sentinels | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Sentinels | 59c | 23.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b2…633abacked 2GAME Esports | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed 2GAME Esports | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sentinels (-2.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+2.5)Sentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InSentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 1 WinnerSentinels won
- Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.