TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36a2…c02b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 51 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$49.58
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$89.94
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$100.87
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.4
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.31
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.33
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.59
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$60.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+45%+$102.42
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$75.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$54.73
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$81.47
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$663.56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$190.23
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.84
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.87
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.33
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.8
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.09
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.69
Aurora vs Team Liquid: Draw (1-1)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$80.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$26.14
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$321.86
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.82
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$45.97
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.68
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.63
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.94
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$284.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-64.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.