TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc69b…2076backed Under52c11,699$6,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,036.5270641.5%293 W · 413 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Over50c10,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,05022355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over49c7,737$3,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,950.561,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Under57c4,810$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed Under50c3,476$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.483951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c2,986$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.9130447.4%144 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under52c2,287$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.941,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under28c1,454$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.3314228.2%40 W · 102 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57030437.8%115 W · 189 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Under54c932.81$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.7223946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c893.05$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.321,21343.4%527 W · 686 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under52c657.3$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.1337343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over49c597.32$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.781,14338.8%444 W · 699 L-46.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2141…0effbacked Over47c580.38$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.62556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over64c537.89$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.51,00454.5%547 W · 457 L+49.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over74c532.81$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.561,18166%780 W · 401 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28048947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27021249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe381…5edbbacked Over26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26516654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c471.4$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.112,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over71c454.01$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7940055.8%223 W · 177 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over49c446.17$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5514441.7%60 W · 84 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014841.2%61 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over64c387.54$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.0438931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under50c382.67$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.342,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Under51c311.76$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15928835.4%102 W · 186 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over49c308.06$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6446448.9%227 W · 237 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over46c267$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1819835.4%70 W · 128 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Over44c248.91$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.392669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.4wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+63.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over44c248.13$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.951,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked Under51c217.65$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11157244.6%255 W · 317 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over46c215.14$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1821051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a2…c02bbacked Under56c204.63$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.591163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over44c200$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11360943.2%263 W · 346 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…64c3backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004949%24 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over49c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.228843.1%124 W · 164 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006443.8%28 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under46c199.75$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.161,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over47c196.87$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.391,61643.8%708 W · 908 L-74.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over46c195.65$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6526641%109 W · 157 L-1.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057449.7%285 W · 289 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under50c157$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2220143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Over57c148.04$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5438051.1%194 W · 186 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under49c142.15$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9731439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Over51c137.41$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4113735%48 W · 89 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33b0…3636backed Over51c129.33$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.373050%15 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under21c120.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516919.5%33 W · 136 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under44c115$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.370443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under54c111.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.924544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c2…b4ecbacked Over45c110.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.22564%16 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under60c100.4$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7134742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Over50c99.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7112051.7%62 W · 58 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c99.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.952,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d6c…fe45backed Over47c95.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.741258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over47c87.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2310847.2%51 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3570…35ddbacked Over44c84.09$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.093751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Over76c83.54$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9434351.3%176 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Over46c81.48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448245.1%37 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over50c81.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5753047.2%250 W · 280 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fc…fec7backed Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4315253.9%82 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8024…9ee8backed Over46c76.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.091457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed Over44c74.84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.911942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Under51c74.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under51c72.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7627856.5%157 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over50c69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.546450.6%235 W · 229 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Over47c63.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6612251.6%63 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94fe…a16abacked Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ba…e2b1backed Over48c60.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.72236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4f5…6df5backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307367.1%49 W · 24 L+12.8wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+43.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f3c…5b7bbacked Over48c57.03$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.471361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over33c51.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5442137.5%158 W · 263 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over50c49.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.866558.8%391 W · 274 L-37.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under51c47.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.481,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Under54c46.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2613473.9%99 W · 35 L+13.8wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under54c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1539555.2%218 W · 177 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x562c…8597backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4812048.3%58 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.555253.8%28 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…a741backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under49c40.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.674637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d3c…2b52backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.63655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3acc…e204backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over28c39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.123,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over43c37.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6532442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4346…f897backed Over53c37.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.818363.9%53 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under37c37.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.833987%28 W · 370 L-123.7wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.3%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0x76ba…dcfdbacked Over46c32.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d8…2d6cbacked Over50c31.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.896100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under49c30.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.182,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under49c30.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.182,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeafe…c310backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.619742.3%41 W · 56 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd641…0635backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.76848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over40c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.42,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159357%53 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6368…01d3backed Over48c27.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.