Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7c3a3b8ddf03f257fe81cf1a5853116b425daecc0d4f359e5ce5b74e717da21

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $60,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,458 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9770…0ff5backed Under	58c	11,886$6,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,893.63	597	50.4%301 W · 296 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	58c	11,103$6,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,439.55	1,213	43.4%527 W · 686 L	-15.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over	42c	10,118$4,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,868.56	1,320	38.6%510 W · 810 L	-66.0wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Over	42c	8,571$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,971.43	288	35.4%102 W · 186 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under	58c	7,500$4,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,349.98	1,502	50.3%756 W · 746 L	+71.2wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Over	42c	5,059$2,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,939	166	45.8%76 W · 90 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Over	42c	2,700$1,134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,565.9	215	40%86 W · 129 L	-12.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over	49c	2,207$1,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,132.62	76	60.5%46 W · 30 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under	58c	1,831$1,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.97	903	50.8%459 W · 444 L	+17.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over	41c	1,742$714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,027.8	1,014	47.6%483 W · 531 L	+8.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under	60c	1,687$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,007.79	2,178	53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L	+61.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over	42c	1,531$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$887.83	427	35.4%151 W · 276 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Under	60c	1,378$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.32	166	54.2%90 W · 76 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Under	58c	1,347$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.86	1,492	48.4%722 W · 770 L	+47.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under	57c	1,210$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.58	1,522	54.7%832 W · 690 L	+37.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over	42c	1,086$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.74	169	33.1%56 W · 113 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Under	50c	1,004$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502	331	53.2%176 W · 155 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over	42c	955$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.9	260	42.3%110 W · 150 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Under	59c	853.24$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.41	239	46%110 W · 129 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7a…8238backed Over	42c	847.57$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.59	147	35.4%52 W · 95 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	58c	798.99$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464	373	43.4%162 W · 211 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under	59c	749.98$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.49	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe78…edacbacked Over	43c	697.67$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.67	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed Over	41c	599.2$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.53	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over	40c	572.12$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.27	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Over	41c	504.29$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.53	1,399	44.9%628 W · 771 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over	41c	485.02$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.57	440	39.5%174 W · 266 L	-25.3wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Over	41c	476.54$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.16	967	49.8%482 W · 485 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Over	42c	476.19$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.19	148	41.2%61 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db0…bad0backed Over	42c	463.17$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.64	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over	46c	449.99$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.5	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f3…3ca0backed Over	42c	428.57$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.57	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Under	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	53	67.9%36 W · 17 L	+5.9wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Under	59c	300$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	305	43.9%134 W · 171 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under	56c	259.84$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.18	142	28.2%40 W · 102 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Over	41c	243.9$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.9	319	55.8%178 W · 141 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc3…0e9cbacked Over	40c	242.5$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.5	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Over	33c	220$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.4	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over	41c	200$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118	629	49.9%314 W · 315 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Over	33c	200$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over	42c	183.33$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.33	155	36.1%56 W · 99 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under	58c	179.3$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.39	1,143	38.8%444 W · 699 L	-46.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Under	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…0650backed Over	42c	166.67$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.67	136	51.5%70 W · 66 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Over	43c	162.79$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.79	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	41c	162.63$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.93	245	44.5%109 W · 136 L	-12.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	58c	162$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.18	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over	43c	144.26$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.23	186	48.9%91 W · 95 L	+12.9wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Over	43c	144.23$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.21	161	50.9%82 W · 79 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under	53c	138.55$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.96	619	46.5%288 W · 331 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over	40c	124.55$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.55	435	43.2%188 W · 247 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over	42c	123$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.34	119	43.7%52 W · 67 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Under	59c	122.68$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.38	151	43%65 W · 86 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Over	41c	121.95$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.95	181	49.7%90 W · 91 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Over	41c	121.95$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.95	126	51.6%65 W · 61 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Under	51c	98.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	518	48.3%250 W · 268 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under	18c	97.42$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.38	169	19.5%33 W · 136 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	59c	78.01$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.85	1,343	49%658 W · 685 L	-26.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Over	41c	73.17$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.17	141	47.5%67 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Under	55c	72.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	237	30%71 W · 166 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed Under	59c	60$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x844a…f6d7backed Over	41c	60$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.4	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.24per pick	49cpaid	+47%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Under	58c	60$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	454	44.3%201 W · 253 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed Over	42c	51.29$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.75	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca8…b713backed Over	42c	47.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	134	44.8%60 W · 74 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45eb…36eebacked Over	42c	38.1$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.1	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	58c	37.14$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	395	55.2%218 W · 177 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Over	41c	36.59$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.59	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Over	43c	36.51$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.88	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb911…d6d0backed Under	59c	31.07$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.33	249	45.8%114 W · 135 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9eb…75cebacked Over	42c	28.87$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.87	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	59cpaid	+45.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over	61c	25.05$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.76	249	59.8%149 W · 100 L	+18.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Over	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	122	21.3%26 W · 96 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under	54c	24.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	243	56%136 W · 107 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Under	55c	19.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	795	45.3%360 W · 435 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?this page
First Blood in Game 1?Gen.G won
First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)T1 won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsGen.G won
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event