Lol · resolved market
First Blood in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d4ff0772845622952330e8f141fe421fb3ac17cfddd677d8fbc4de32d63ebe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gen.Gof T1, Gen.G
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x299d…d9e6backed T1 | 1c | 1,186$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Gen.G | 50c | 423.27$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.64 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…4892backed T1 | 50c | 259.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Gen.G | 50c | 208.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed T1 | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 624 | 39.7%248 W · 376 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Gen.G | 77c | 108.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 366 | 43.7%160 W · 206 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed T1 | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…ed3bbacked T1 | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked T1 | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 233 | 30%70 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- First Blood in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
- First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsGen.G won
- LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.