Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c560138c90524996dc6f6e000f664e093e2161e029196b715dc3fd8e02c12e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.97 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 57c | 2,820$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.13 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Over | 57c | 1,935$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.1 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Under | 44c | 1,147$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.58 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Over | 59c | 677.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.91 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 10c | 622.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…f9f9backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 56c | 340.82$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 59c | 336.07$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.79 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Under | 44c | 224.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Under | 27c | 185.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Under | 43c | 154.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 40c | 147.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 44c | 118.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…dcc3backed Over | 60c | 101.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 366 | 43.7%160 W · 206 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 63c | 96.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Under | 24c | 83.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…ed3bbacked Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 529 | 45.9%243 W · 286 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…88b6backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da0…4b8bbacked Over | 69c | 41.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…a962backed Over | 80c | 37.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Under | 43c | 33.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 68c | 29.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 25.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e79…83eebacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Over | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…51a3backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Gen.G won
- First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
- First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsGen.G won
- LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.