TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of Gen.G, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked T165c25,000$16,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,75096948.6%471 W · 498 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Gen.G35c20,000$6,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,978.861,52254.7%832 W · 690 L+37.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Gen.G34c17,201$5,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,813.651,14338.8%444 W · 699 L-46.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Gen.G35c11,829$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,140.291,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c2a…267ebacked T157c9,721$5,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,148.383455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…369bbacked T168c9,131$6,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,965.814864.6%31 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Gen.G36c8,264$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.211,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked T164c8,013$5,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,902.8790348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked T167c7,500$5,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,49530044%132 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Gen.G35c6,200$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17021939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Gen.G35c5,888$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.971,21343.4%527 W · 686 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed T165c5,420$3,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.998951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed T166c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70010346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed Gen.G34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.9810449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Gen.G53c3,889$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.5938148%183 W · 198 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked T165c3,305$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.6317954.7%98 W · 81 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Gen.G32c3,190$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.8423447.9%112 W · 122 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1350…f908backed T165c3,053$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.76860.3%41 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc13…8c5dbacked T165c3,053$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.74346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked T166c3,052$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.6412036.7%44 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Gen.G34c2,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.9990350.8%459 W · 444 L+17.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Gen.G29c2,279$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.9570641.5%293 W · 413 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed T166c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68063751.2%326 W · 311 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed T164c1,900$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.995343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked T165c1,708$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.918253.7%44 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed T178c1,580$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.562,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Gen.G36c1,404$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.6123946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked T165c1,303$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.987247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Gen.G28c972.08$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.571,29926.6%345 W · 954 L+65.4wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked Gen.G35c962.57$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.919336.3%70 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked T166c900$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30632350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Gen.G35c715$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed T145c707.46$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.941,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked T167c700.02$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.5120143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Gen.G30c652$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.632939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked T168c619.2$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9214949%73 W · 76 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Gen.G33c611.89$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.922532%8 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed T166c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.061656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed T165c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21034868.4%238 W · 110 L+23.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed T166c600$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20679745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Gen.G34c576.79$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2452344.9%235 W · 288 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked T159c573.33$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7214228.2%40 W · 102 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ce…6c4abacked T165c555.38$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3857847.8%276 W · 302 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed T168c507.55$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.281,05650.4%532 W · 524 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed T165c501$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3521051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked T166c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1705740.4%23 W · 34 L-8.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf035…052abacked Gen.G34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5844…5bd4backed T166c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-49.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f4…04d4backed T166c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b0…551abacked T146c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.786050%30 W · 30 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2131…7325backed Gen.G34c426.79$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.11128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.38per pick46cpaid-77.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed T167c397.6$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2111768.4%80 W · 37 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked T167c385.67$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Gen.G74c350$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.547150.7%239 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked T166c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0384360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Gen.G34c292$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5546448.9%227 W · 237 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Gen.G35c285.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9457451.4%295 W · 279 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c02…c6d2backed Gen.G36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc953…b223backed T166c277.59$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.385959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e7…ac8ebacked Gen.G33c233.33$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7715042.7%64 W · 86 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed T166c230.38$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4916654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8231…3301backed T167c212.33$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.071625%4 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Gen.G34c202$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1537343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Gen.G33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669341.9%39 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed T175c199.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Gen.G34c195.35$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4226641%109 W · 157 L-1.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39b…c3e6backed Gen.G52c192.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Gen.G44c184.42$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1534742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked T165c179.24$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.385125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked T146c174.58$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4434351.3%176 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf545…4036backed Gen.G43c164.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56a2…aa49backed T165c162.12$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.741978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d4b…aeb6backed T165c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed T159c152.74$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.062,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8e…e61bbacked T166c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Gen.G49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6531439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe553…c927backed T165c150$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.53525.7%9 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdecf…6476backed T168c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.063762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Gen.G35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked T150c141.52$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.761,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Gen.G37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5057449.7%285 W · 289 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked T163c135.14$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5030437.8%115 W · 189 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed T167c126$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5846450.6%235 W · 229 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed T159c120.52$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.051,00454.5%547 W · 457 L+49.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5da…ed2ebacked T167c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+81.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda54…63d4backed Gen.G42c117.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013537%50 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Gen.G44c108.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4870443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Gen.G35c101.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3555744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Gen.G36c101.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4112557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed T166c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3337650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd05c…ea2cbacked T165c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3510451%53 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed T150c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed T166c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3474637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed T167c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331,34349%658 W · 685 L-26.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked T168c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3292354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Gen.G35c97.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2813449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked T161c91.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4342137.5%158 W · 263 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked T166c84.94$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8865544.1%289 W · 366 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…48e0backed Gen.G35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x310f…36a8backed T165c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.