TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf035…052a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.92
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 94°F or higher on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.9
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$29.21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+107%+$22.68
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 24 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.83
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$315.1
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.93
Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
Map Handicap: DRG (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)backed Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$67.05
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$330
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.23
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$87.56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$51.02
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.61
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$315
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.68
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$305
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$355
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$74.57
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
France to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.45
France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$220
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$156
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-69.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.96
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$61.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-65.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.08
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$29.5
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.4
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.49
Will Manuel Flavio Minervini win the 2026 Molfetta mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$35.91
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
All 8 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-59%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.