CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x276294c3b64b0d48247590952e75921adcf470fd81c70bd9a3f115ee805a9980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof illwill, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked illwill | 47c | 13,344$6,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,314.84 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill | 67c | 9,655$6,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,439.85 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed illwill | 22c | 9,065$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.61 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked illwill | 5c | 8,569$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.2 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed illwill | 67c | 6,661$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed G2 Ares | 63c | 3,490$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.35 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed G2 Ares | 72c | 2,797$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked G2 Ares | 56c | 2,540$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.26 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 63c | 2,312$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.78 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed illwill | 68c | 2,260$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.13 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked G2 Ares | 60c | 2,150$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.36 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked G2 Ares | 29c | 2,040$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed illwill | 45c | 1,815$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.49 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed G2 Ares | 34c | 1,780$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.74 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed G2 Ares | 33c | 1,500$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.5 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed illwill | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed illwill | 55c | 1,478$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.51 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed G2 Ares | 52c | 1,460$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.53 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed G2 Ares | 62c | 1,426$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.16 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed G2 Ares | 32c | 1,424$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.26 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked illwill | 63c | 1,329$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.77 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed G2 Ares | 33c | 1,323$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.39 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed G2 Ares | 43c | 1,288$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.69 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…2104backed illwill | 72c | 1,253$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked G2 Ares | 41c | 1,219$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.38 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked G2 Ares | 64c | 1,205$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.92 | 208 | 54.8%114 W · 94 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…d821backed G2 Ares | 32c | 1,171$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.42 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 54c | 1,139$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.15 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked G2 Ares | 49c | 1,138$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.89 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 1,106$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.79 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares | 48c | 1,053$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.13 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked G2 Ares | 48c | 1,050$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.09 | 365 | 40%146 W · 219 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked illwill | 13c | 1,000$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.92 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…fe20backed illwill | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed G2 Ares | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Ares | 72c | 990.08$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.8 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked G2 Ares | 34c | 973.14$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.27 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked illwill | 71c | 956.01$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.77 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed illwill | 70c | 953.25$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.8 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…8eeebacked illwill | 69c | 894.23$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed G2 Ares | 63c | 851.73$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.93 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed G2 Ares | 56c | 848.07$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.51 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed G2 Ares | 75c | 792.13$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.03 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed G2 Ares | 30c | 780.13$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.13 | 229 | 40.2%92 W · 137 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…7cc8backed G2 Ares | 41c | 770.5$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.2 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed G2 Ares | 32c | 748.15$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.15 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…2d98backed G2 Ares | 47c | 726.85$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.69 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…da05backed G2 Ares | 40c | 717.71$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.88 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed G2 Ares | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…47fcbacked illwill | 49c | 685.66$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.6 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked G2 Ares | 32c | 685$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked G2 Ares | 33c | 672.73$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.73 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed G2 Ares | 33c | 668.13$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.02 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed illwill | 47c | 641.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Ares | 44c | 640.21$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.29 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed G2 Ares | 36c | 634.87$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.02 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed G2 Ares | 32c | 634.38$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.38 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed illwill | 16c | 620$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares | 33c | 608.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.02 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked G2 Ares | 34c | 602.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.94 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed G2 Ares | 52c | 590.93$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.28 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed G2 Ares | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed G2 Ares | 36c | 549.81$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.81 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed G2 Ares | 36c | 533.44$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.05 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed illwill | 43c | 530.7$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…052abacked illwill | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…286dbacked illwill | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed illwill | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked illwill | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…aeb6backed illwill | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed G2 Ares | 62c | 488$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.44 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked G2 Ares | 28c | 484.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.91 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed G2 Ares | 32c | 484.42$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.73 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed illwill | 56c | 482.21$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed illwill | 6c | 480.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed illwill | 66c | 459.28$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.32 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed illwill | 28c | 457$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed G2 Ares | 33c | 450$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed illwill | 37c | 435.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.68 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked G2 Ares | 63c | 420.57$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.61 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…de7fbacked G2 Ares | 36c | 419.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.22 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Ares | 44c | 411.82$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.92 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed G2 Ares | 32c | 411.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.79 | 319 | 31.7%101 W · 218 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed G2 Ares | 33c | 409.09$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.09 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…d1f4backed illwill | 69c | 408.22$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.47 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked G2 Ares | 32c | 405.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.02 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed G2 Ares | 31c | 403$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.07 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…7ef4backed illwill | 13c | 401.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed illwill | 55c | 396.09$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.81 | 395 | 38.7%153 W · 242 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed G2 Ares | 32c | 395.95$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.25 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked G2 Ares | 48c | 394.8$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.09 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…eaeabacked illwill | 17c | 380$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked G2 Ares | 32c | 376.51$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.36 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed G2 Ares | 32c | 350.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.43 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…70efbacked illwill | 67c | 343.7$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.18 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed illwill | 43c | 340.72$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed illwill | 64c | 338.03$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.13 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -9.5wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked G2 Ares | 35c | 330.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked G2 Ares | 33c | 324.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.48 | 470 | 47.9%225 W · 245 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed G2 Ares | 31c | 315$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.35 | 489 | 39.7%194 W · 295 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ILWL (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)G2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.