TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x28c0…8eee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT4753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$12.98
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$7.7
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$13.35
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$7.22
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$32
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$41.32
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$17.37
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$7.26
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.82
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$17.8
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+229.2%+$28.96
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.72
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$18.79
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$27.65
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.51
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$24.72
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2313%3 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.88
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+495.2%+$832.02
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.9
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.2
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.09
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.04
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$233.6
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$176.36
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.19
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.37
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.16
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,211.94
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.07
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.13
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.5
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$117.77
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$43.02
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$29.49
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.36
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47%+$64.17
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.11
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$58.22
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+76%+$37.59
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+254.4%+$179.47
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.5
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.58
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+249.5%+$321.73
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.57
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$307.66
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.27
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$37.06
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+616.2%+$64.46
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.78
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$51.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.