Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8195102c18d2ef98346dddef8ba23d00e147c5c0ea0f15fb924ac28a471ce0c

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $655,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $670,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $655,169 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 561 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	33c	37,033$12,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,823.15	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed No	38c	12,958$4,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,970.19	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked No	3c	11,800$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.5	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed No	0c	10,460$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.28	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	69c	10,327$7,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,245.88	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	33c	9,746$3,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,565.72	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x913f…c676backed No	78c	9,051$7,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,093.38	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-7.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	32c	7,483$2,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,365.72	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	22c	5,402$1,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,188.97	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	28c	5,339$1,516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,823.09	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	57c	4,831$2,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,730.79	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	8c	4,473$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,098.82	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	13c	4,331$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,786.27	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	16c	4,181$687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,493.55	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x590e…e43dbacked No	68c	4,127$2,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,794.68	192	15.6%30 W · 162 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	12c	4,021$477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,544.11	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	31c	3,998$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,773.3	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	44c	3,802$1,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,654.64	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	68c	3,744$2,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,545.61	208	57.2%119 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed Yes	25c	3,664$918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,745.75	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	59c	3,621$2,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,152.75	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes	34c	3,379$1,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,227.98	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	68c	3,378$2,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,069.31	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0f…179abacked Yes	22c	3,327$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,606.94	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	29c	3,178$937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,241.31	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	65c	3,157$2,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,094.91	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	75c	3,075$2,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,306.3	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	28c	3,067$871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,195.7	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	31c	3,000$923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,077.17	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	34c	2,916$994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,922.05	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x275b…1780backed Yes	34c	2,859$959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,900.06	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	49c	2,854$1,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,390.02	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	35c	2,750$951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,799.02	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2856…1ecdbacked Yes	44c	2,591$1,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,445.42	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	34c	2,443$832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,610.9	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes	51c	2,396$1,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,182.33	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	30c	2,339$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,629.15	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes	45c	2,266$1,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,249.64	83	21.7%18 W · 65 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	62c	2,200$1,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,369.07	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc7…e49abacked Yes	16c	2,192$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,834.21	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	18c	2,125$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,750.49	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked No	9c	2,109$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.68	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb38d…83d6backed No	73c	2,108$1,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,538.9	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	66c	2,081$1,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,382.21	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	40c	2,037$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.56	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	73c	2,016$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470.42	218	57.8%126 W · 92 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	47c	2,000$936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,064.27	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	42c	2,000$833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,167.07	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	1,966$1,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,404.1	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	63c	1,939$1,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,224.7	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	2c	1,890$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.84	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	13c	1,752$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,532.99	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	67c	1,728$1,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.65	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	36c	1,725$621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,103.74	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	48c	1,700$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888.68	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	64c	1,670$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,073.86	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	35c	1,662$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,086.88	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked No	49c	1,623$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.86	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	38c	1,569$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$978.52	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	73c	1,555$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.25	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	23c	1,484$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,135.67	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	62c	1,443$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.64	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe661…7816backed No	52c	1,428$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	72c	1,407$1,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014.55	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4377…1764backed Yes	26c	1,336$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$985.6	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	24c	1,317$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$997.95	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	14c	1,300$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,116.47	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	46c	1,279$586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$692.86	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed No	3c	1,262$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.79	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	56c	1,261$712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.37	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	30c	1,235$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.97	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	45c	1,224$547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.85	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	49c	1,209$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.31	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes	19c	1,200$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$967.8	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	9c	1,164$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,054.42	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed Yes	17c	1,114$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.18	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	16c	1,102$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.34	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	19c	1,067$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$862.01	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	38c	1,060$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.9	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked No	58c	1,057$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.98	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…1305backed Yes	48c	1,052$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.42	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	29c	1,034$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.5	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	33c	1,013$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.77	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	54c	1,002$541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.07	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked No	2c	999.98$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe2…d740backed Yes	49c	994.5$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.38	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	+77.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	8c	985.31$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$903.27	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a6…254ebacked Yes	50c	967.55$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.92	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	15c	949.61$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.37	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x433e…6be1backed Yes	20c	944.53$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.48	90	24.4%22 W · 68 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	68c	932.73$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.76	148	64.9%96 W · 52 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	27c	920$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$670	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…8b39backed No	11c	900$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.2	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	36c	900$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$578.5	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	77c	899.99$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a9…924ebacked Yes	48c	873.4$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.4	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	19c	872.07$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.87	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb20d…d518backed No	59c	865.29$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.65	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-3.8wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	35c	860.31$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.09	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	46c	858$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.14	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event