Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x728476a5627694f75cbb945f3b8df83037f7ad939557c59d82f8990373158414

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $761,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $579,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $761,015 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	49,999$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	47,518$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.04	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	0c	33,469$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.52	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	24,898$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.7	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	24,422$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.29	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a5…fccdbacked Yes	0c	8,362$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.72	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	8,288$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.95	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	2c	8,084$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.5	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	1c	7,596$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.34	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	7,173$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.56	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	5,211$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8f…da6fbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,855$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.64	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	11c	4,650$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.63	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	4c	4,504$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.41	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f4…16bdbacked Yes	2c	4,107$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	3c	4,051$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.25	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	3,920$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	9c	3,794$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.72	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	17c	3,699$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.73	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	16c	3,401$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.01	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	1c	3,095$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.97	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	3,025$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	9c	3,000$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.83	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	18c	3,000$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.39	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0240…32b8backed Yes	1c	2,838$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	1c	2,710$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.33	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	17c	2,632$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.44	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	16c	2,628$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.55	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb29c…d8b9backed Yes	7c	2,492$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.27	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	5c	2,491$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.24	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	17c	2,403$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.41	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9519…9c28backed Yes	11c	2,342$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.17	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	12c	2,325$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.81	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Yes	1c	2,100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	66	6.1%4 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	2,014$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	20c	2,014$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	16c	2,000$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0f…179abacked Yes	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	1,978$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.63	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	4c	1,972$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.27	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81d5…46f4backed Yes	9c	1,900$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.49	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	9c	1,812$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.92	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	1,630$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.79	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	1,600$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes	4c	1,568$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.16	83	21.7%18 W · 65 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	9c	1,533$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.7	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	6c	1,500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	6c	1,500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	7c	1,458$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.98	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	7c	1,403$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.96	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac1…db0ebacked Yes	5c	1,345$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.98	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	20cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	18c	1,327$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.27	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	8c	1,316$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.26	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	1c	1,300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee9…99e7backed Yes	1c	1,282$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce5a…0a70backed Yes	1c	1,273$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+152.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	6c	1,250$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	9c	1,243$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.29	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	18c	1,228$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.02	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc7…e49abacked Yes	19c	1,222$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.89	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	1,158$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.67	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	1,126$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.46	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e0e…e6d1backed Yes	2c	1,097$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.53	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6904…ea7ebacked Yes	9c	1,084$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	12c	1,058$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.32	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	4c	1,031$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.24	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	3c	1,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.8	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd20…c958backed Yes	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5001…bc10backed Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	972.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.69	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	16c	939.1$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.5	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	9c	919.97$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.05	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	12c	913.3$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.94	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	9c	865.78$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.4	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a6…87bebacked Yes	5c	800$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	14c	799.99$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x433e…6be1backed Yes	19c	777.77$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	90	24.4%22 W · 68 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…0985backed Yes	3c	769.37$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.83	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	16c	766.74$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	15c	747.16$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.07	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	10c	746.07$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…ff7bbacked Yes	19c	733.48$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.36	73	16.4%12 W · 61 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	9c	709.75$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	18c	705.86$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b18…5ac2backed Yes	19c	704.46$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.34	80	20%16 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes	19c	700$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4377…1764backed Yes	22c	692.66$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	689.55$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	5c	689.07$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	20c	672.79$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.79	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	4c	656.87$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	13c	622$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.88	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64cc…0da1backed Yes	19c	616.29$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.89	111	18.9%21 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event