Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03b23a1490694676dfd3bde4f73069994cd7da9b84225b3e09603f12fda95b0c

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $957,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $646,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $957,848 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	0c	53,905$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.92	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	6c	52,420$3,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,042.34	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	4c	46,384$1,797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,797.2	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	23,363$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.45	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	2c	17,212$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.79	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	2c	15,861$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	2c	14,296$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.91	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	4c	13,138$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.05	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	11,053$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.54	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes	2c	10,898$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	16cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	1c	10,514$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.49	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d55…cd90backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	50	20%10 W · 40 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	9,927$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.2	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	7,842$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.25	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	9c	7,430$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.5	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	12c	7,321$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.54	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	6c	7,010$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.39	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	6,244$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.34	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	2c	6,228$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.51	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	9c	6,214$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.14	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	5,810$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.66	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	11c	5,522$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.64	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	1c	5,502$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.83	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	7c	5,239$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.76	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	4c	5,023$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.04	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	70c	4,979$3,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,493.68	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9057…c12cbacked Yes	1c	4,800$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	124	24.2%30 W · 94 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	4,800$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	1c	4,690$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.03	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	1c	4,663$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.94	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5359…6b35backed Yes	29c	4,623$1,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,340.7	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	4c	4,583$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.72	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	2c	4,514$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.42	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	78c	4,492$3,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$968.37	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	2c	4,100$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.7	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	1c	4,051$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.67	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	4,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	2c	3,900$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.64	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	24c	3,808$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.55	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	17c	3,757$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.54	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a5…fccdbacked Yes	2c	3,747$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.34	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	5c	3,720$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.97	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	9c	3,647$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.24	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08ab…cbc4backed Yes	1c	3,311$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.46	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…178ebacked Yes	2c	3,294$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.41	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	13c	3,209$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.8	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x552c…be63backed Yes	1c	3,068$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.3	143	14%20 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	29c	3,000$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884.03	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	12c	2,832$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.44	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	1c	2,772$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.13	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked Yes	2c	2,771$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	1c	2,560$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.34	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	0c	2,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	3c	2,500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.97	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	3c	2,481$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.04	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	3c	2,379$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.64	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x743c…f28dbacked Yes	2c	2,333$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Yes	1c	2,300$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	66	6.1%4 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed24…e5c9backed Yes	1c	2,269$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes	12c	2,250$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.1	83	21.7%18 W · 65 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	14c	2,242$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.37	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	3c	2,200$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	12c	2,200$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	12c	2,178$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.99	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	2,154$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.21	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	2,130$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.07	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12e6…d6cdbacked No	78c	2,115$1,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.54	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	1c	2,096$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.89	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	73c	2,017$1,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.13	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	2c	2,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	4c	2,000$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes	30c	1,998$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.39	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	22c	1,979$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.38	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	15c	1,936$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.47	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x304b…57b2backed Yes	2c	1,839$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.44	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+105%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0240…32b8backed Yes	5c	1,835$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	24c	1,821$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.29	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e1…8729backed Yes	1c	1,810$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	2c	1,773$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.96	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	1c	1,729$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.71	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	1c	1,718$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.65	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	78c	1,670$1,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.88	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	30c	1,665$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.37	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70e3…5e8cbacked Yes	9c	1,654$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.24	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba75…adb4backed Yes	2c	1,648$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.93	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	72c	1,640$1,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.65	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…daf3backed Yes	20c	1,625$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.59	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	13c	1,604$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.88	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	1,596$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.14	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	6c	1,588$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.54	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87d3…55fcbacked Yes	3c	1,585$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.71	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	18c	1,558$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.44	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc7…e49abacked Yes	19c	1,507$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.21	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	24c	1,500$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	11c	1,500$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	7c	1,477$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.1	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	4c	1,460$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.6	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3359…683bbacked Yes	2c	1,440$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.78	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event