TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d55…cd90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5020%10 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$50.05
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.83
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$204.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.19
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2814.3%4 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-80.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will DR Congo win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.36
Will South Africa win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Will Nigeria vs. Mozambique end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$331.97
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+33.7%+$147.38
Morocco vs. Tanzania: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,326.43
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+177.8%+$64
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+479.7%+$331
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+50.9%+$135
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$298
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$47.79
Will Pisa SC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$189
Will Torino FC win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+33.3%+$75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+74.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+167.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$362
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$171
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+140.6%+$36.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+64%+$8.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$111.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$276
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.