Fifa International · resolved market
Will South Africa win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ec57934c508b89354d0a84effc1851657af4352aa7b742fa862c4b591054490
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 6,946$5,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.38 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,997$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…679bbacked Yes | 27c | 3,175$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,900$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 32c | 2,704$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.57 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 2,693$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 2,387$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.02 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 14c | 1,574$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 11c | 1,374$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,172$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 1,088$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.4 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Yes | 2c | 1,057$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 48c | 909.55$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.68 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed No | 70c | 894.09$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 30c | 878$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.44 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 70c | 861.38$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.19 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 52c | 858.98$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.67 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 72c | 830.43$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.52 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 815.59$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes | 31c | 799.19$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked No | 70c | 713.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.8 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 32c | 681.25$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcc…9488backed Yes | 19c | 629.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…699abacked Yes | 28c | 522.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…cd90backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…ac93backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 18c | 499.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 32c | 498.53$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 33c | 390.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 28c | 384$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 70c | 378.83$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 350.62$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…b019backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 29c | 344.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 29c | 306.24$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 71c | 288$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 29c | 279.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 22c | 250$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 70c | 240$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 240$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 69c | 240$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 71c | 235.79$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 16c | 235.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 15c | 235$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 29c | 201.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 31c | 171.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 71c | 165.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 162$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02d…2935backed Yes | 10c | 159.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…92a1backed Yes | 29c | 148.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 23c | 146$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 31c | 138.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 70c | 119.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 71c | 108$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 71c | 108$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 34c | 100.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 112 | 63.4%71 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7003…684bbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf1…b788backed Yes | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 29c | 99.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 19c | 99.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 17c | 95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 69c | 91.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…7eeabacked Yes | 30c | 91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 70c | 87.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a2…0ff7backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…e74bbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…7a67backed Yes | 31c | 74.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 71c | 72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 71c | 72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 71c | 72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…7af9backed Yes | 28c | 71.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 30c | 69.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 53c | 68.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b0…8decbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…4a49backed Yes | 32c | 61.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…29eabacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Africa win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
- Will South Africa vs. Cameroon end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.