TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ad4…7eea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Asian League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+54%+$53.97
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.96
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$129
Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.55
West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.42
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$154.44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$178.91
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$216.08
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.42
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.57
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$25.15
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$61.23
Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.52
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$36.63
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$151.37
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$40.25
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$6.34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.52
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$27.32
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.21
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.02
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.6
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$42.62
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.67
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.87
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$88.1
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.1
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$36.77
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-55.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada election called before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.67
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$88.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+73.8%+$56.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angers SCO vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$42.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Change The Game vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3)backed Change The Game · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$139.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.