Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc789ebe51190bb3be58806ec08d92622a38552a14c2080febc8313b30ab4647b

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $124,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $144,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,193 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5af4…a7dfbacked Under	79c	30,408$23,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,952.14	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.9wins	-0.49per pick	66cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	24c	27,823$6,774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,048.33	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	21c	14,523$3,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,423.37	857	48.5%416 W · 441 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	21c	8,535$1,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,742.56	136	30.9%42 W · 94 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under	67c	6,377$4,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,263.64	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under	76c	5,813$4,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,439.9	60	66.7%40 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under	69c	5,310$3,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,672.13	38	71.1%27 W · 11 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	29c	3,556$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,515.19	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Under	2c	3,208$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.08	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Under	68c	2,875$1,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,968.69	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-10%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	71c	2,817$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Under	80c	2,500$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Under	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under	1c	1,939$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	21c	1,000$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over	20c	1,000$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	192	35.9%69 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	78c	1,000$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.28	560	51.4%288 W · 272 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over	23c	999.79$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$771.13	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+99.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	78c	859.64$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.52	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over	31c	806.45$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.45	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d7…47cbbacked Under	1c	750$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x600b…c7e0backed Under	78c	632.27$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.17	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	25c	552.36$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.36	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	11c	500.75$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.67	827	63%521 W · 306 L	+113.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	22c	500$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	227	44.1%100 W · 127 L	+12.3wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under	66c	450$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	23c	444$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.88	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	22c	422.51$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.56	1,044	33.3%348 W · 696 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over	24c	416.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.67	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	78c	410.47$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.45	724	42.7%309 W · 415 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	26c	367.72$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.07	914	35.3%323 W · 591 L	-15.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under	77c	337.66$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Over	19c	331.23$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.47	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	32c	312.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.5	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	22c	311.95$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.41	598	47.7%285 W · 313 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over	21c	299.61$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.58	141	28.4%40 W · 101 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	21c	273.13$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.97	337	51.3%173 W · 164 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under	74c	270.23$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over	20c	250$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…3f31backed Under	80c	250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under	70c	231.46$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.16	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over	21c	225.36$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.09	221	46.2%102 W · 119 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under	79c	215.18$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.99	76	60.5%46 W · 30 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under	65c	214.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.74	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over	25c	213.67$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.22	183	58.5%107 W · 76 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under	78c	205.13$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	21c	200$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158	593	32.9%195 W · 398 L	-30.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Under	79c	199.99$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.99	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	65cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over	32c	187.5$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.5	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over	55c	183.64$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.64	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	21c	157.14$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.14	228	32.9%75 W · 153 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	11c	157$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.73	202	39.6%80 W · 122 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Under	65c	154.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	27c	152.49$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.98	226	45.6%103 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	22c	150$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.75	396	51.5%204 W · 192 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	29c	146.44$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.71	1,938	42.5%823 W · 1,115 L	-41.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over	61c	138.12$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.34	149	75.8%113 W · 36 L	+26.0wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Over	21c	135.85$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.32	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under	12c	134.37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb19…9a2abacked Under	69c	130$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed Under	78c	128.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	63.5%40 W · 23 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	70cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under	80c	125$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	66.1%41 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under	14c	120$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under	77c	110$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.7	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under	68c	103.18$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	27	88.9%24 W · 3 L	+5.3wins	+0.20per pick	69cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over	25c	100$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5087…2d85backed Over	20c	100$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	66c	99.31$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.77	413	43.3%179 W · 234 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	21c	97.2$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.01	734	58.6%430 W · 304 L	+47.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e54…134fbacked Over	21c	95.91$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.01	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.36per pick	14cpaid	+129.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over	37c	94.73$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.73	79	31.6%25 W · 54 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed Under	77c	90.91$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-5.1wins	-0.43per pick	68cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under	80c	90.63$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.47	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8395…516cbacked Over	23c	85.42$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.42	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over	28c	79$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.18	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2c8…5a02backed Under	69c	77.74$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	23c	77.55$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.71	365	45.2%165 W · 200 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under	65c	76.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over	37c	73$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.99	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Over	34c	71.42$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.14	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under	66c	71.15$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.96	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under	76c	70.38$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.67	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Over	24c	69$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.47	245	57.6%141 W · 104 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over	31c	68.19$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.27	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over	31c	68$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	162	36.4%59 W · 103 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	79c	63.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	562	41.5%233 W · 329 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over	22c	53.76$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.76	50	18%9 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+127.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Over	55c	50.91$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.91	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	31c	50$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	21c	50$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over	31c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over	32c	46.88$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.88	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under	46c	46.74$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under	45c	45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under	76c	38.68$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under	72c	37.91$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.43	146	45.9%67 W · 79 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	74c	35.77$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.34	204	40.7%83 W · 121 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over	32c	35$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.85	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-6.8wins	-0.23per pick	49cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under	79c	32.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.36	164	54.9%90 W · 74 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5this page
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event