Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3693e1fba930fa80f7c575f1b733d3c64db82f4e6f7f181937f8e9f590f90a0

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $192,251
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $226,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,251 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over	42c	30,000$12,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,413.03	319	47.6%152 W · 167 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under	58c	16,801$9,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,744.4	189	58.7%111 W · 78 L	+12.6wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Under	60c	8,333$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Over	74c	8,057$5,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,134.45	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	41c	7,377$3,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,352.35	136	30.9%42 W · 94 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe964…03cbbacked Under	59c	7,094$4,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,215.42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over	43c	7,019$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,018.52	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under	46c	6,972$3,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,212.1	205	45.4%93 W · 112 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	58c	6,414$3,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,720.07	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	38c	6,247$2,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,396.51	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under	0c	6,108$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.49	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	58c	4,939$2,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,842.96	886	35.8%317 W · 569 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	57c	4,831$2,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,753.84	133	53.4%71 W · 62 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over	40c	4,742$1,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,845.49	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under	59c	4,144$2,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,464.01	38	71.1%27 W · 11 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	50c	4,135$2,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,049.96	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over	43c	3,977$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,277.44	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under	30c	3,246$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.67	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-7.9wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Under	59c	3,097$1,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,827.15	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over	65c	3,040$1,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,064	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under	62c	3,000$1,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,859.99	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Under	74c	2,703$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over	38c	2,498$949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,548.99	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	75c	2,400$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	24c	2,058$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,564.33	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	192	35.9%69 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Under	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	59c	1,888$1,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,113.91	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	58c	1,563$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.73	592	47.6%282 W · 310 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	42c	1,190$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$692.38	543	40.5%220 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under	58c	1,063$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.44	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over	40c	1,000$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	179	59.8%107 W · 72 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Under	77c	922.08$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	47c	901$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.51	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over	40c	900$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	181	56.4%102 W · 79 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over	40c	900$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	168	58.3%98 W · 70 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x600b…c7e0backed Under	59c	847.58$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.07	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Over	38c	789.47$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.47	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over	70c	777.14$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.14	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e6f…8c21backed Over	69c	724.64$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.64	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under	58c	689$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.31	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over	41c	657.5$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.92	90	42.2%38 W · 52 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	34c	614.09$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.74	202	39.6%80 W · 122 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked Under	61c	600$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	41c	598.18$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.22	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…2758backed Under	73c	553.85$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.31	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under	8c	526$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.24	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under	73c	491.77$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.3	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over	41c	485$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.15	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	42c	444$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.52	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	43c	417.46$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.42	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under	69c	389.71$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.5	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under	31c	371.67$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.78	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	34c	352.94$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.94	97	24.7%24 W · 73 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-27%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	21c	350$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.17	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	33c	315$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.05	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc3f…efffbacked Over	71c	305.63$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.63	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	74cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over	73c	304.21$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.14	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under	74c	301.61$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.86	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Under	10c	295.89$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.19	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	16cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	42c	291.56$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.71	132	50.8%67 W · 65 L	+8.0wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under	62c	290.4$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over	70c	285.71$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.71	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Over	41c	285$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.15	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	35c	277.45$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.11	768	42.6%327 W · 441 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb19…9a2abacked Under	64c	270$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	58c	253.09$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.41	335	51.3%172 W · 163 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over	65c	240.24$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.61	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafca…92b4backed Over	42c	238.1$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.1	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18d…3464backed Under	52c	221.15$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under	59c	220.34$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	+5.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over	46c	219.59$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.58	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca7…94ccbacked Over	72c	211.93$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.34	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Under	52c	211.54$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	74c	200$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	773	36.4%281 W · 492 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.95	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over	41c	198.26$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.97	65	60%39 W · 26 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a30…eb65backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over	69c	193.91$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.11	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+46%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under	59c	190.38$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.67	221	46.2%102 W · 119 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over	76c	189.79$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.59	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+115%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under	59c	182$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.38	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over	30c	166.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.67	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1575…3d32backed Over	69c	165.56$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.22	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	72c	159.4$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.3	152	63.2%96 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	51c	154.04$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.24	204	40.7%83 W · 121 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Under	65c	153.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	61c	150.49$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.8	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over	39c	148.46$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.56	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf89d…6f39backed Under	68c	147.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	45c	146.94$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.32	413	43.3%179 W · 234 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdb96…bdf0backed Over	39c	145.1$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.51	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over	70c	142.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over	43c	141.16$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.16	209	56%117 W · 92 L	+15.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25bf…1184backed Under	60c	133.33$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-49%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under	58c	130.01$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.41	141	28.4%40 W · 101 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	58c	129$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.82	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5this page
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event