TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1575…3d32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT7065.7%46 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistajabacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$48.67
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.91
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+60%+$258.03
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$88.1
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$105.49
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$37.5
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$218.67
Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$146.7
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$31.91
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$164.91
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.67
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$97.46
Little Rock: Michael Mmoh vs Justin Boulaisbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.87
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Camila Osoriobacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$86.27
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Alina Korneevabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$38.19
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondarbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$177.62
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynetsbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$78.41
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.79
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.26
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.84
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$52.32
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.51
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$75.22
Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.86
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$61.83
Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$61.27
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.66
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$91.82
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$96.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$76.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$56.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.