TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,307

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c8,230$4,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,811.346,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Over42c7,105$2,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,983.951118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-66.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under53c4,000$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.452152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Over53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Over54c3,311$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.741266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Over56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.941631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over40c2,394$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.491435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under47c2,001$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c1,773$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.571,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c1,660$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.0856051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under46c1,600$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8647959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over56c1,439$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.8222049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over26c1,400$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.913921.6%30 W · 109 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.478065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Under44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5606743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under47c892.3$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.924151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under46c736$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.447361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under47c650$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.516858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under67c626.59$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.34,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over32c618.75$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1988236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31818156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c592.23$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.0841850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c592.08$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.6459847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over39c513.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under44c499.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.996058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c454.25$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.792,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over54c366.41$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.862347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over56c351.88$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.052050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under68c344.2$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8174644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under47c343.02$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.817959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9112652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e19…bd99backed Over53c316.32$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6fd…1128backed Over50c314$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under45c301.75$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9615255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Over56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over41c244.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over46c232.24$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.831560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under44c215.9$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.935941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa410…f61fbacked Over56c214.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-73.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1575…3d32backed Over53c204.13$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.19875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb7…02d8backed Over49c202.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.331414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-68.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under44c201.61$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.98442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10028859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016253.7%87 W · 75 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Under70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605651.8%29 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under43c193.82$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.486439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over48c189.08$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f1c…dc61backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over56c176.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0110550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over57c174.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.59957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec2…26d7backed Over56c174.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.583231.3%10 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+72.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over56c169.68$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.026451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2638…97bebacked Under45c165.14$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+140.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.810960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.810860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over55c149.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4918449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac7…c99abacked Under65c144.62$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.621040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc322…a836backed Over53c141.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over22c127.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under45c126.26$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7540655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x778a…7a2abacked Over20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.612558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.610558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c117.45$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8969851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under47c114.1$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4712757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under45c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.52650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Under80c108.15$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.635848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over26c107.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.31,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x041e…bc83backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over54c104.15$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.241,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5620958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over56c99.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610747.7%51 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over20c99.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7115858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over41c98.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.27759.7%46 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under43c97.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.54148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over53c94.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.224353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under45c92.37$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0333751.3%173 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over56c88.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30bb…f258backed Over53c84.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under70c82.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2572442.7%309 W · 415 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over57c82.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476354%34 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.27261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Over49c78.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.79037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.155955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under77c69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6911753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under46c65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.13161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.84445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over22c59.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.795018%9 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+127.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under57c58.78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2877342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.