Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57220188e2400a3b1523a353928ba3ae5bdb03a48d94390cb669cfc4eb1eea29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 8,230$4,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 42c | 7,105$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Over | 54c | 3,311$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Over | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 40c | 2,394$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.4 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Under | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 47c | 2,001$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,773$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.57 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 1,660$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.08 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 56c | 1,439$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.82 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 26c | 1,400$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.9 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.47 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 47c | 892.3$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.92 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 46c | 736$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.44 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 47c | 650$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 626.59$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.3 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 32c | 618.75$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 46c | 592.23$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.08 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 592.08$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.64 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 39c | 513.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 454.25$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.79 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over | 54c | 366.41$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.86 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 56c | 351.88$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 344.2$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 47c | 343.02$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…bd99backed Over | 53c | 316.32$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…1128backed Over | 50c | 314$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 45c | 301.75$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Over | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 41c | 244.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 46c | 232.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 44c | 215.9$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…3d32backed Over | 53c | 204.13$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 49c | 202.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 44c | 201.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 43c | 193.82$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 48c | 189.08$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1c…dc61backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 56c | 176.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 57c | 174.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…26d7backed Over | 56c | 174.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 56c | 169.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…97bebacked Under | 45c | 165.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 55c | 149.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…c99abacked Under | 65c | 144.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…a836backed Over | 53c | 141.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 22c | 127.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 45c | 126.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…7a2abacked Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 117.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 47c | 114.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Under | 80c | 108.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 107.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041e…bc83backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 54c | 104.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 20c | 99.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 41c | 98.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 43c | 97.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 53c | 94.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 45c | 92.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 337 | 51.3%173 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 56c | 88.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…f258backed Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 70c | 82.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 57c | 82.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 49c | 78.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 77c | 69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Under | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 22c | 59.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 58.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.