TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f1c…dc61

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.99
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45
West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150%+$120
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$74
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$106
Manchester City FC vs. Exeter City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$62
All 18 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-76.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$138
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+159.1%+$122.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$97.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$75.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.