TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,480
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,480 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9925752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over54c3,575$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.51,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c3,017$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.711,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…2079backed Over56c2,394$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.76714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under3c1,851$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.535729.8%17 W · 40 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+160.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c1,755$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.256,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under60c1,665$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked Over54c1,400$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.832766.7%18 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+64.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over48c1,034$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.882050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over54c1,000$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.96540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under46c999.98$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9933057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over75c710$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.519259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c636.48$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.074,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over53c561.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.6711448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18436956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over63c342.18$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7224158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over53c337$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3972249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over53c330.43$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.022,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under47c275.39$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.431,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x673b…93f0backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over54c221.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.126346%29 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under34c220.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c210$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c210$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.660557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under37c201.43$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.021,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over54c200.01$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9213447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f1c…dc61backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under45c181.82$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8221839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9475…a29ebacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over56c177.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.16558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c165$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.935157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22b9…6ae2backed Over47c157.45$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.451833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over76c133$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3141260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under46c125$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over54c113.94$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4133753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under55c104.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7910051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4632357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c95.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.082,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under46c95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.725553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.596553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.436259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under46c85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.126158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under46c85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.132255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under46c85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.125456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under46c85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.126058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under46c85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.132656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under46c85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.128255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over62c84$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.741,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over63c79.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8416233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.536758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under46c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.532755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under46c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.538358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7335134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Over53c64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.085650%28 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dbc…d46fbacked Over54c62.63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.811315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-69.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.633156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.646660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.633057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.629057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.629259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.656158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.631557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe900…7937backed Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.355654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.427661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0413450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed Over54c35.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.54158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.126959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over54c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7216445.7%75 W · 89 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over48c30.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8412055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.828458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.826259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.823658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.825858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.827758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.825558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.822958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.831359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.825560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.822858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.820556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.817456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b8…13a3backed Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Under47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.751729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Under47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.282277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.