TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xedc6…314a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
258
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tweets, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$119.6
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$60
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$333.4
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$560.78
Spread: Bulls (-7.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$167
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50.67
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$84
Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$67.6
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+156.4%+$122
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+525%+$84
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 115.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$575.16
Spread: Kings (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$653.3
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Spread: Pacers (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+195.3%+$1,926.32
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+81.7%+$8.17
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST5554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$409.58
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+55.4%+$214
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)backed Derby County FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34.75
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)backed Blackpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)backed Cheltenham Town FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+89.7%+$125.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$93.33
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$16.34
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+77.4%+$46.44
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$220
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+102.3%+$307.95
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$29.55
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+273.1%+$546.3
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed Hellas Verona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$49.09
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$53.21
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$180
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.95
Will Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$294.55
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$117.46
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick4cpaid+230.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+2,378%+$3,091.46
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+1,383.8%+$276.76
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Zhuoxuan Baibacked Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$108.12
Australian Open Men's: Yannick Hanfmann vs Zachary Svajdabacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100.3%+$160.2
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
Medvedev vs. Nakashima: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Shang vs. Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alexander Bublikbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+185%+$776.91
Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-1.5) vs Collignon (+1.5)backed Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+70%+$70
Brisbane International: Kamil Majchrzak vs Reilly Opelkabacked Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$17.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Macarthur FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Macarthur FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$219
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.05
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick56cpaid-75.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$139
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100.1%+$404.24
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$43.33
All 5 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-61.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+151.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Algeria vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$133.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+184.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anadolu Efes vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+184.7%+$73.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+87.2%+$237.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25%+$3.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Belmont Bruins vs. Northern Iowa Panthersbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.