NHL · resolved market

Capitals vs. Blackhawks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdee58ccde3e3ed7a0bc2505f8891484f97801c035b8e802a918fcb4667799a76

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Capitalsof Capitals, Blackhawks
Resolved: Jan 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,535,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,560,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,535,293 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 504 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Blackhawks	45c	1,657,185$744,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$744,161.3	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals	55c	796,913$440,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356,620.11	1,345	54.8%737 W · 608 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Capitals	55c	400,000$221,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179,000	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+7.6wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Capitals	55c	222,222$122,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100,000	103	49.5%51 W · 52 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef1…3713backed Blackhawks	42c	162,745$69,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,164.21	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Capitals	57c	158,228$90,651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67,576.77	166	56.6%94 W · 72 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Capitals	57c	138,082$78,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,621.27	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Blackhawks	43c	96,379$41,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,743.56	485	49.7%241 W · 244 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blackhawks	46c	60,950$28,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,246.32	1,070	49.9%534 W · 536 L	+22.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Capitals	54c	52,283$28,233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,050.41	159	53.5%85 W · 74 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Capitals	55c	32,680$17,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,783.37	619	53.8%333 W · 286 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7caf…058bbacked Capitals	54c	32,382$17,487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,895.93	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Capitals	56c	25,469$14,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,278.15	566	49.5%280 W · 286 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals	55c	20,071$11,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,031.95	1,891	52.4%991 W · 900 L	+36.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Blackhawks	43c	18,501$7,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,955.29	329	46.8%154 W · 175 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Capitals	61c	13,206$8,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,171.87	418	50%209 W · 209 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Capitals	56c	12,089$6,763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,325.84	170	57.1%97 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Capitals	58c	11,749$6,756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,992.6	145	53.1%77 W · 68 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Blackhawks	45c	11,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	510	45.5%232 W · 278 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blackhawks	44c	11,000$4,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,840	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Capitals	53c	10,800$5,724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,076	135	53.3%72 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Capitals	55c	10,038$5,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,505.43	133	63.2%84 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Blackhawks	44c	9,091$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Blackhawks	30c	8,385$2,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,509.94	387	38%147 W · 240 L	-13.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Capitals	56c	8,041$4,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,572.89	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Blackhawks	0c	7,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	250	4.8%12 W · 238 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+159.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blackhawks	42c	6,500$2,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,737.46	1,087	45.1%490 W · 597 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Capitals	53c	6,000$3,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,820	617	48.5%299 W · 318 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Blackhawks	46c	5,978$2,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,750	230	47.4%109 W · 121 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Capitals	54c	5,584$3,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.78	282	51.8%146 W · 136 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Blackhawks	48c	5,208$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	500	49.6%248 W · 252 L	+16.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Capitals	54c	5,165$2,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,356.05	939	53.6%503 W · 436 L	+29.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Capitals	58c	5,155$2,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,164.95	514	52.3%269 W · 245 L	+17.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Capitals	56c	5,020$2,796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,224	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals	55c	5,000$2,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,250	895	47%421 W · 474 L	-18.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Capitals	56c	4,780$2,678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,102.23	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blackhawks	9c	4,766$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.59	896	36.9%331 W · 565 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Blackhawks	46c	4,605$2,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100.65	183	45.9%84 W · 99 L	-10.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Capitals	56c	4,554$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,003.57	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.3wins	+0.29per pick	46cpaid	+74.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94ea…f2dabacked Blackhawks	11c	4,419$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Blackhawks	1c	4,235$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.69	185	20.5%38 W · 147 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Capitals	55c	4,109$2,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,849.09	168	43.5%73 W · 95 L	-14.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Blackhawks	44c	4,000$1,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,760	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Blackhawks	44c	4,000$1,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,760	296	51.7%153 W · 143 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blackhawks	20c	3,911$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793.69	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blackhawks	25c	3,475$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.44	950	49.1%466 W · 484 L	+12.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Blackhawks	46c	3,261$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	281	52%146 W · 135 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Capitals	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Blackhawks	44c	3,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	210	48.1%101 W · 109 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Blackhawks	1c	2,978$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.94	145	8.3%12 W · 133 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+135.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Blackhawks	29c	2,735$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.83	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Blackhawks	8c	2,671$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.6	1,140	51.5%587 W · 553 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Capitals	54c	2,618$1,421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,196.59	228	52.6%120 W · 108 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Capitals	56c	2,505$1,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,095.86	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Blackhawks	45c	2,500$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125	849	53.8%457 W · 392 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blackhawks	46c	2,500$1,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,147.5	976	51.6%504 W · 472 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Capitals	56c	2,500$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.98	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-8.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Blackhawks	34c	2,476$853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$853.12	345	38.6%133 W · 212 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Blackhawks	44c	2,455$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.93	459	55.1%253 W · 206 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Capitals	54c	2,400$1,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,104	229	46.3%106 W · 123 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Blackhawks	44c	2,273$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blackhawks	46c	2,221$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,013.53	1,434	50.8%728 W · 706 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Blackhawks	46c	2,200$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012	752	51.7%389 W · 363 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Blackhawks	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	151	45%68 W · 83 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Capitals	56c	2,149$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$949.35	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Blackhawks	43c	2,125$914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913.75	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Blackhawks	46c	2,123$977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.51	288	53.1%153 W · 135 L	+14.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Blackhawks	43c	2,111$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.65	221	50.2%111 W · 110 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Blackhawks	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	242	0.8%2 W · 240 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Capitals	56c	2,000$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.98	142	53.5%76 W · 66 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ff…85d8backed Capitals	59c	1,690$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Capitals	53c	1,615$859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.5	1,230	53.7%661 W · 569 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blackhawks	5c	1,609$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.49	1,054	42.5%448 W · 606 L	-25.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Blackhawks	9c	1,606$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Blackhawks	45c	1,600$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	248	45.2%112 W · 136 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Blackhawks	26c	1,567$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	201	50.2%101 W · 100 L	+9.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Blackhawks	44c	1,553$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.22	390	47.9%187 W · 203 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Blackhawks	46c	1,522$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	185	47%87 W · 98 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blackhawks	17c	1,503$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.74	1,301	52.6%684 W · 617 L	+23.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Capitals	56c	1,500$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660	684	49.9%341 W · 343 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blackhawks	43c	1,494$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.34	1,679	54.4%914 W · 765 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Capitals	56c	1,428$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.35	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51a9…5f73backed Capitals	57c	1,368$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588.24	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Blackhawks	44c	1,364$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe5a…ef1bbacked Capitals	57c	1,355$772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.65	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2148…0599backed Capitals	56c	1,289$722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.96	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Blackhawks	44c	1,250$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	384	45.8%176 W · 208 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Capitals	54c	1,247$673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.84	2,894	51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f69…23cbbacked Blackhawks	6c	1,200$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	111	27%30 W · 81 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Capitals	53c	1,157$613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.6	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Capitals	53c	1,152$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.54	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Blackhawks	44c	1,140$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.17	71	38%27 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Blackhawks	45c	1,100$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Blackhawks	45c	1,087$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.01	457	51.6%236 W · 221 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals	56c	1,062$595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.26	1,475	48.3%712 W · 763 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks	30c	1,050$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.33	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Capitals	56c	1,000$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	622	49.4%307 W · 315 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Blackhawks	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Blackhawks	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Blackhawks	45c	1,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	333	45.6%152 W · 181 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Capitals vs. Blackhawksthis page
Capitals vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
Capitals vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Capitals vs. Blackhawks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event