TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94ea…f2da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST5536.4%20 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$68.68
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+227.3%+$875.02
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$769.5
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+140.1%+$746.77
Senators vs. Utahbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Flames vs. Canadiensbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$113.28
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$123.4
Ducks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+180.6%+$303.54
Stars vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+255.7%+$975.16
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$343.5
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Bruins vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST4360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$306.37
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+87.7%+$546.15
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+64%+$86.57
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$117.46
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.9%+$93.26
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+141%+$282
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$78.81
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.81
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Saints vs. Titansbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$131.74
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.95
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+146%+$803.19
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.8%+$65.75
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+122.3%+$293.35
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Preasy Mix vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed Preasy Mix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Change The Game (BO3)backed Change The Game · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+96.5%+$192.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Sydney FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.