TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,710,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,769,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,710,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pelicans36c150,575$53,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,572.6451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Pelicans40c125,799$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0009641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Suns62c77,819$48,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,344.965,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Suns62c70,491$43,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,629.352,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Suns66c66,569$44,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,529.282,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pelicans38c57,488$21,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,843.0687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Pelicans37c50,009$18,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,715.0320551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Suns63c50,000$31,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,599.9823245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Pelicans41c43,827$18,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,126.139336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Suns63c42,397$26,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,730.9812147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Suns65c40,910$26,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,505.842,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Pelicans37c40,000$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,80038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pelicans38c36,507$13,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,872.541,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans14c34,019$4,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,655.731,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans23c33,201$7,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,534.221,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Pelicans36c32,906$11,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,791.798827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Pelicans32c31,559$10,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,179.3262347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Suns70c28,605$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,605.2634062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Pelicans35c27,087$9,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,480.5913248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns76c26,510$20,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,296.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Suns62c22,150$13,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,438.3959653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns62c21,477$13,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,207.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans2c20,803$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.181,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Suns64c17,730$11,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,382.787957%45 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Pelicans37c16,216$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.8565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Suns64c15,029$9,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,453.1348944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Suns65c15,000$9,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,250.0117861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Pelicans36c15,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40021450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Pelicans38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7004744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns60c14,942$8,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,011.24,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Pelicans38c14,534$5,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,497.482850%14 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns72c13,593$9,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,842.053,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Suns77c12,293$9,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.851,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns63c10,577$6,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,875.174,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Suns63c10,109$6,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,713.2944654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pelicans19c10,019$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.71,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Suns62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,80019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Pelicans37c9,600$3,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,55214244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Pelicans34c9,550$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,208.4919958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns63c9,141$5,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,396.441,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns62c8,925$5,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.863,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Suns68c8,699$5,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.891,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a60…3170backed Pelicans37c7,102$2,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,653.1912646%58 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x681d…08aabacked Suns78c6,323$4,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.435052%26 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Suns66c6,001$3,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.3214055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2202,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pelicans39c5,949$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290.81,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Suns62c5,865$3,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.528748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Pelicans26c5,613$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.9638649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Suns65c5,455$3,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.4344459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Suns60c5,364$3,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.081,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Suns78c5,264$4,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.862759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Pelicans31c5,204$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.163844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Suns66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec9f…c3fbbacked Pelicans35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7501233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns64c4,525$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.0689050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Suns65c4,403$2,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.0535450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns61c4,389$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.542,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Suns65c4,363$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.1147043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Suns68c4,212$2,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.072,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc1…6e30backed Pelicans36c4,175$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.617541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Suns63c4,154$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.2630947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Suns63c4,059$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.921,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pelicans33c4,004$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.2848845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pelicans1c4,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5064517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pelicans37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9835235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Suns65c3,846$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.155848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans2c3,600$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Suns62c3,500$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,33012143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Suns64c3,317$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.163959%23 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pelicans43c3,266$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.9681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Suns64c3,243$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.3444648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Pelicans30c3,199$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.4334227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Suns63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.676746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Pelicans16c3,174$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.7983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Suns65c3,046$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.1547856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Suns62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1409451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x697d…985dbacked Suns64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0802441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1f…6623backed Pelicans35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0502445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Pelicans5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15039018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Suns64c2,800$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00819351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Suns62c2,700$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02662351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Suns65c2,665$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.7550653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Suns62c2,650$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0079260.9%56 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans38c2,550$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9691,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns70c2,531$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.173,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Pelicans36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db0…ece3backed Pelicans33c2,424$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3614…0468backed Suns68c2,424$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.68977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+149.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Pelicans35c2,400$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9621538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Pelicans38c2,354$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.4528439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x657c…0cc5backed Suns70c2,335$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.391258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Suns64c2,332$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.1110541%43 W · 62 L-11.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Pelicans37c2,237$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.524057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns64c2,188$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Suns80c2,162$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.848549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans33c2,140$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.454,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Pelicans30c2,120$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.5921923.7%52 W · 167 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Suns65c2,035$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.3825554.1%138 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.