NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26807a5c6015f63bd26879d1cacba8cf048f3018e46d4166962fed1196ea8799
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 55c | 2,226$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.03 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Suns | 46c | 2,090$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.91 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Suns | 52c | 1,676$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.56 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns | 45c | 1,240$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.12 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Pelicans | 55c | 1,205$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Pelicans | 1c | 1,194$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Pelicans | 48c | 1,019$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.34 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pelicans | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans | 29c | 640.85$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Pelicans | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Suns | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 45c | 428$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Suns | 49c | 408.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.78 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pelicans | 54c | 404.87$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.63 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pelicans | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Pelicans | 52c | 384.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Suns | 48c | 349.06$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.53 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 53c | 258.82$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…c5eebacked Suns | 50c | 201.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Pelicans | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Pelicans | 52c | 192.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Pelicans | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 48c | 191$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Pelicans | 55c | 190$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Suns | 50c | 188$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Pelicans | 62c | 153.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Suns | 53c | 151.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Suns | 49c | 144.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Pelicans | 54c | 126$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Pelicans | 53c | 124.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Suns | 50c | 122$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x776a…fe4dbacked Suns | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Suns | 55c | 104.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 100.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Suns | 47c | 95.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Pelicans | 54c | 93.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 48c | 83.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Suns | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans | 51c | 75.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked Pelicans | 47c | 73.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans | 35c | 73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pelicans | 27c | 69.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 49c | 61.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Suns | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Suns | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…c02cbacked Pelicans | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc7…af9dbacked Suns | 46c | 53.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pelicans | 49c | 52.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…cff9backed Suns | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…52e6backed Pelicans | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…e210backed Suns | 47c | 44.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Suns | 47c | 42.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Pelicans | 56c | 41.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Pelicans | 49c | 40.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Suns | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Pelicans | 54c | 36.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Suns | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Suns | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Suns | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Suns | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Pelicans | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Pelicans | 52c | 27.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Suns | 46c | 26.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 24.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Pelicans | 52c | 23.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. PelicansSuns won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Over won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.