TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd89e…35fabacked Under52c23,469$12,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,302.514544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under40c13,705$5,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,222.812,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Over48c9,026$4,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.3610642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c8,299$4,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,263.449,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under48c6,997$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,611.93,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18051753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over50c5,573$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.422,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c4,135$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.648,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over42c3,623$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.833,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over51c3,526$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.461,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under48c3,338$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.8350347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Under46c3,087$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.0516136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c2,547$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.164,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c2,165$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.044,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c16…1e6bbacked Under47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over48c2,120$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.5152460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8276746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c1,792$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8711,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over47c1,601$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.4758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Over48c1,543$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74021355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over53c1,436$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.8810057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c1,337$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.721,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed Over55c1,200$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.272352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5761,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b8…85e7backed Over47c1,183$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5561376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+55.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over41c1,111$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.7256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under54c1,088$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Over2c1,056$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4113844.2%61 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under47c1,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.535450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Under60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3940041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33649142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c626.98$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.952,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c607$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.571,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31821858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under46c576$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.81,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Under52c423.08$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0815756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1078…9ca9backed Under47c264.74$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under41c240$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.634451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c230.38$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.813,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under51c199.87$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.942,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x205b…d66abacked Under47c181$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2310100%10 W · 0 L+4.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed Over47c165$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.553551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…14d9backed Under47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5713946.8%65 W · 74 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under50c158.1$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.131,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4254…b8d2backed Under57c140$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.55160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over17c126.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.467921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcad0…d5bfbacked Over54c111.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.710058%58 W · 42 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5474547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.762349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under41c90$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.171747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db2…cbf1backed Over48c85.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Under53c76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7213652.2%71 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.072,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over53c72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1631754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over53c72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1634254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Over48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.621056.2%118 W · 92 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Under46c69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.265750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under42c68.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019150.3%96 W · 95 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under46c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.648759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ab7…180ebacked Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.225251.9%27 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e7…6d5cbacked Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.224141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Over46c65.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9934246.8%160 W · 182 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over40c59.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7650648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Under54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5651651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over53c54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6234053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under41c54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8633147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over53c54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6287647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e70…2227backed Under59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over53c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8520456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under48c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3328852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa709…8d1dbacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.468955.1%49 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0823753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0827350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0832649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0831250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0823850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8811741.9%49 W · 68 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0827251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0836651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under41c36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2431852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0827353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under41c36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2431551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over53c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0827150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under47c34.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0416849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Over54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.22951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked Over48c27.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311258.9%66 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over53c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.318755.2%48 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Over54c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.045448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1249358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over53c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.136346%29 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.