TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8333…eb93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: College Football, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$371
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$3,904.5
Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$138.6
Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$145.29
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$430
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$3,110.4
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,969Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$5,171.4
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$509.97
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$530
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+37%+$23.76
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$425.22
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$802.35
Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.45
Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$121.98
Jazz vs. Warriors: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,357.95
Jazz vs. Warriors: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$253.99
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$270.74
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$633.49
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$361.58
Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$128.15
Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$490
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$146.07
Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$265
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.3
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$985.76
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,585.8
Penguins vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$498.79
Islanders vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$215
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+127.3%+$1,453.2
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$737.38
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$541.2
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,089Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,335.75
Bruins vs. Blackhawksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$754.35
Golden Knights vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$510
Devils vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.38
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,424.6
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$290
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$295
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.74
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+86%+$370
Avalanche vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Sabres vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$132.38
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$657.22
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$917.31
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$32.43
Jets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$900
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson Tigers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$650.07
Penn Quakers vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 173.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$495.25
San Francisco Dons vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$470
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,921Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+104.1%+$3,040.11
Northwestern Wildcats vs. USC Trojansbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+300%+$41.6
Pepperdine Waves vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$510
UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$60.16
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$28.03
Troy Trojans vs. Old Dominion Monarchs: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
Rhode Island Rams vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$905.37
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$132.27
Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5)backed Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,092.05
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$436.4
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$469.21
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$176.97
Spread: South Carolina State Bulldogs (-1.5)backed South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Coppin State Eagles: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$265
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-10.5)backed USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$157.5
Spread: Harvard Crimson (-7.5)backed Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$239.5
Norfolk State Spartans vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
Spread: New Orleans Privateers (-1.5)backed Northwestern State Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$540
Spread: Charleston Southern Buccaneers (-4.5)backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$530
Spread: BYU Cougars (-7.5)backed Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,037.5
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-5.5)backed Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$940
Northeastern Huskies vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$105.64
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+158.9%+$484.79
Will Beauty And A Beat be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.96
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,019.97
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+148.4%+$1,194.99
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,186.31
Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$535
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.1
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,024.42
Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$435.91
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.84
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.64
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$855.94
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$173.42
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$302.99
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$320.94
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$392.42
Will Scotland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+140%+$119.71
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$1,431.93
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$293
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.35
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,733Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$3,733.01
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,443.9
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,153
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Big Game: Coin Toss Team Winnerbacked SEA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$108.24
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40.92
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,274Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,786.4
1H Spread: Seahawks (-0.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.23
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$129.16
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,074Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$3,526
1H Spread: Texans (-1.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$935.06
Spread: Rams (-14.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$530
Spread: Bills (-7.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$245
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$91.65
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,125.2
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$312.67
Spread: Chargers (-2.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$307.68
Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H Moneylinebacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$390
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$262.5
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$383.08
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+52.1%+$71.23
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Squabble Up" first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+31.1%+$57.66
Coin Toss: Heads or Tails?backed Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+100%+$297
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$114.8
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$80.83
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$1,220.37
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$17.03
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$929.17
Will Bloc Quebecois win 31 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.97
Will Bloc Quebecois win between 26 and 30 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Will the Conservatives win between 120-139 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$826Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+57%+$470.97
Will Bloc Quebecois win between 21 and 25 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+381.5%+$1,030
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,065.51
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Carney say "Immigration" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$10.34
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$780
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+127.3%+$672
Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)backed East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+127.3%+$233.52
O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$100
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+239.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+194.1%+$883.06
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+284.6%+$1,110
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.6
Yankees vs. Redsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Series of Poker – American winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid all time high before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$510
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$210.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Simona Waltertbacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$900.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$221.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.