TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saint Joseph's Hawksof St. Bonaventure Bonnies, Saint Joseph's Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,714 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies54c70,000$37,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,699.7812364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Saint Joseph's Hawks47c67,515$31,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,1005,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Saint Joseph's Hawks46c9,300$4,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,05635243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies52c8,478$4,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,441.1812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies65c3,432$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.255,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c3,330$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.442,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56028539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Saint Joseph's Hawks54c1,637$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.492,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Saint Joseph's Hawks53c1,499$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.043,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Saint Joseph's Hawks46c1,422$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.742454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c1,064$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5647550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Saint Joseph's Hawks46c1,005$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54314846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies6c991.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2713313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies28c941.71$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.341,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies49c682$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9472248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies52c671$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.921,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c650$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.8260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks45c623$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.5775447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c603.77$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Saint Joseph's Hawks47c585$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.0591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies66c583$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.29849%48 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Saint Joseph's Hawks25c578$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.538343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Saint Joseph's Hawks24c562.67$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.972,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies51c561.14$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.884,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Joseph's Hawks23c542.81$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.752,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks47c521.15$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2881453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa51…a910backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b97…3f54backed Saint Joseph's Hawks20c496.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+396.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies51c468.46$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.912,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4427045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Saint Joseph's Hawks47c431.23$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.551,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies54c409.06$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.831,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies57c392.36$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7673549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Saint Joseph's Hawks46c371.48$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2921342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c364$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9274152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies52c340.32$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.972853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks52c339.35$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.3457335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Saint Joseph's Hawks76c305.18$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.787346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies35c285.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6432343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Saint Joseph's Hawks50c277.7$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.891,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies52c269.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68af…4b9bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c230.19$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies26c221.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.884,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Saint Joseph's Hawks46c216.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7921050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Saint Joseph's Hawks48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10489146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee54…5665backed Saint Joseph's Hawks40c189$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c186.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.753,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Saint Joseph's Hawks47c181.67$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.82356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies54c148.39$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3499045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Saint Joseph's Hawks21c142.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8653635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks48c124.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5821646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saint Joseph's Hawks57c113.92$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.771,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies24c111$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8549747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9a…b04fbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks48c105$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.62458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Saint Joseph's Hawks49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bd8…5c53backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532250%11 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.294254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks47c84.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Saint Joseph's Hawks52c71.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4948051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c62.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.984,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.67040%28 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c07…aeb0backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.253948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.534649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c43.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.363,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies52c42.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.382,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6721252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e2…3703backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Saint Joseph's Hawks46c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c8…d7c5backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies56c34.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.521060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+88.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Saint Joseph's Hawks48c34.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1112355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies54c34.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.493033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies42c32.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8366831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x857a…bcbbbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks46c32.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+41.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Saint Joseph's Hawks46c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies63c30.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.142,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…be96backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c26.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.271735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…7f6abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks48c26.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.721631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83fb…e89bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.216952.7%89 W · 80 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.