TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ee5…be96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.87
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.22
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$80.67
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$8.11
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$28.28
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.04
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.63
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.84
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+170.3%+$21.45
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.71
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.38
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.55
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.79
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.22
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.93
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$4.1
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.39
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.17
Delaware State Hornets vs. South Carolina State Bulldogsbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.31
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.56
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+83.5%+$10.61
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Wright State Raidersbacked Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.27
New Orleans Privateers vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.18
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.08
Louisville Cardinals vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.11
Boston College Eagles vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$15.79
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Cal State Fullerton Titansbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.36
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10.62
LIU Sharks vs. Fordham Ramsbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.41
Vermont Catamounts vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.11
Cornell Big Red vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.28
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.05
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$7.87
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.12
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.54
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$5.23
Pirates vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$5.5
Reds vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.31
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$6.07
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.3
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$13.53
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$16.11
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.93
Canucks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.2
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$15.54
Flyers vs. Lightningbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.93
Kraken vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.17
Canucks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 6 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$7.13
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.25
Titans vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CSA T20 Series: Lions vs North West (Game 1)backed North West · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+143.9%+$18.43
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 2)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.73
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.