TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canucks vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canucksof Canucks, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$350,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$356,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 664 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Canucks41c62,506$25,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,021.4556649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Stars59c53,565$31,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,613.774944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Canucks39c43,877$17,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,729.781,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Stars60c30,173$18,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,234.430944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Canucks23c16,541$3,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,754.158955.1%49 W · 40 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Canucks40c10,897$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,547.315644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars60c10,891$6,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,540.5625555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Stars61c9,688$5,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,909.932642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Canucks36c8,624$3,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,477.3540550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Stars60c8,495$5,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,096.8410356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Stars73c8,490$6,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,172.921,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Canucks40c7,200$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.8910050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Stars73c6,061$4,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,435.4892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Stars59c6,004$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,535.258841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Canucks36c6,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,84024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stars62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcf…d6a9backed Canucks37c4,159$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,620.17922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Stars59c3,660$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.3487447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Stars61c3,536$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.9630551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb703…6f88backed Stars63c3,009$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.672240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Canucks36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9897651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Canucks36c2,584$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.5216743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cae…9c47backed Canucks50c2,560$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e75…2a84backed Stars50c2,560$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Stars64c2,500$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9912445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Canucks11c2,181$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.0929412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Stars61c2,000$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2107157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63af…0a25backed Stars60c2,000$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1901838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Stars76c1,888$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.42839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Canucks36c1,866$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.561,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Stars64c1,785$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.2258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Stars60c1,659$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.311266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Canucks37c1,632$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.19242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars42c1,613$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.751,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…e835backed Canucks37c1,606$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…b7febacked Stars64c1,606$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Canucks37c1,558$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.3189249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Stars65c1,547$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Canucks39c1,500$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Stars64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96012041.7%50 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Canucks39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91530447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Stars63c1,445$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.3557453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Canucks56c1,420$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.795049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Stars62c1,374$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.2362249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Canucks39c1,356$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.5412254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x550d…2b82backed Canucks38c1,322$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+49.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ef…f3dfbacked Stars64c1,322$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Stars64c1,250$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Canucks38c1,244$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.1437847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Stars61c1,206$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.6630848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Canucks12c1,017$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.1714451.4%74 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Canucks70c1,000$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.42,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Stars59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59014447.9%69 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked Stars59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5902040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Stars59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Stars62c999.99$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62012941.9%54 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…f92cbacked Stars36c930.81$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Canucks39c903.66$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.941,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x245e…5888backed Canucks36c833.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.33560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+160.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Stars62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Stars60c778.26$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.9669550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars60c750$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Stars64c750$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4806341.3%26 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Canucks36c749.17$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.4351044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Canucks38c744$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.2815448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Stars13c728.05$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.414012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stars67c700$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.283,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Stars78c695.99$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.182043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0111…61b1backed Stars65c653.85$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-55.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Stars9c642.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9954418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Stars80c600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48033848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Canucks39c573$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.5314057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stars60c570.42$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.432,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Stars59c560$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.654634.8%16 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars62c537$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.941,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Canucks38c535$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.738844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ef…7db1backed Stars63c530.98$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.521442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Stars76c526.69$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick76cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Canucks38c516$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.6829345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Canucks39c499.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30538046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Canucks37c499.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9910145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Canucks38c419.04$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.2989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars62c409$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Canucks37c311$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9360741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Canucks36c305$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked Stars59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1772941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed Stars59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1772040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars63c298.03$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.761,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fec…c965backed Stars60c273.75$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3f1…1ec7backed Stars15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Stars62c258.06$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16018750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Stars61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.58348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0a…63d4backed Stars65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c4…40cdbacked Canucks39c228.21$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.213842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb824…eb41backed Stars65c215.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c0f…6237backed Stars16c210$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aca…5b87backed Stars65c203.08$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b0…0197backed Canucks37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb454…5193backed Canucks37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.