TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9195…72a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
256
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT12742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 127 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.42
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.11
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$845.95
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Devils vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,424.95
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$814.63
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$394.68
Red Wings vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Rangers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$208.47
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$255.56
Maple Leafs vs. Jetsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+127.3%+$318.18
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$250.83
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Senators vs. Utahbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 127 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$34.33
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$48.66
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.62
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$107.43
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$90.48
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.24
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,943Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$761.4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$20.79
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.79
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$133.84
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+163.2%+$489.47
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+376.2%+$75.24
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST3125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.2wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-56.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Magicbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Heat vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$140.63
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+177.8%+$888.89
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$923.08
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Texans vs. Seahawks: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$1,330.19
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$544.13
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$1,012.27
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$727.42
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.99
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.66
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$142.71
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$204.1
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$28.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-48.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kentucky vs. Vanderbiltbacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Utah (-10.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$480.39
USC vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$1,127.66
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 5 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12,272.73
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Phillies vs. Dodgers Series Winnerbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.33
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs AVULUS (BO3)backed Cheeki_Breeki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters (BO3)backed Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+45%+$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
D4vd arrested by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$114.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+35.2%+$70.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $120,000 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$931.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,231.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,740.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.