TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,316
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,316 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Under73c9,679$7,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,584.6328749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Over27c6,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6203246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Over27c4,500$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21550049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under73c2,100$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5679948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under72c1,562$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.49258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over28c1,546$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.9941842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under73c1,442$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.11,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over25c1,170$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4418453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over27c1,099$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.7944551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Over28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under72c999.98$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under73c912.22$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.34542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under74c880.99$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0610650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over13c604$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4942254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16276950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over25c578.23$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7989355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Over27c560$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.21464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Over28c555$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.42948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14091945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under76c440$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6126657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over27c364.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-50.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Over29c342.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4615145%68 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over26c342.96$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1714551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Over26c288.27$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.262937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4814157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under73c139.73$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7314549%71 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3312742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over18c122.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under71c103$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8734547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over27c100.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0320855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over30c79.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2427659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Under80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1545069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under70c71.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7935551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under71c70.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5233554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20c7…bc23backed Over27c70.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2f…0f76backed Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204226.2%11 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over28c68.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Under73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.493083.3%25 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Under73c68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.363770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under77c64.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.845261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over31c62.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1114045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d4…c512backed Under74c52.77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+110.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…ff8abacked Under72c51.3$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.364100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under71c51.12$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8216235.2%57 W · 105 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12277.3%17 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under70c40.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2133363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Under70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under74c27.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1649851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf3…7b13backed Under72c25.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under73c24.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.613158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x233c…6996backed Under72c22.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd61…7bd5backed Under72c21.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8a…8921backed Under72c21.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d1a…7451backed Under72c21.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.023100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1a5…cffdbacked Under72c21.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6c…88a0backed Under72c20.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.48060%48 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Under70c19.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d43…d0ddbacked Under73c18.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec81…c2f4backed Under72c16.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.745100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3822…a98cbacked Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5e…dd17backed Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…a0fcbacked Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…f8b1backed Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa91…7353backed Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b04…ef9fbacked Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e0…67c9backed Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9bf…b078backed Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b8…ab68backed Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1213…dafdbacked Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb8e…58f6backed Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb3…e1ccbacked Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa025…3a9fbacked Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee95…b346backed Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.483100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db4…98d2backed Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a87…156bbacked Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa6…ea27backed Under72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d22…a206backed Under72c15.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.284100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa627…aee0backed Under72c15.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf354…5645backed Under72c15.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc7…e037backed Under72c15.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe425…2eb0backed Under72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x892e…c0cbbacked Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58b…fe75backed Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4df…f395backed Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b4…1630backed Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe089…45c9backed Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd766…6ed5backed Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e8b…3282backed Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc85…3cdbbacked Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2167…9150backed Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee12…d93bbacked Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae5f…4cb3backed Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd5b…6c7cbacked Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaff…d7cabacked Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+53%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa43a…a762backed Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd50a…8ab2backed Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc38…bd83backed Under72c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.