TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,110 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e6e…be00backed Under41c54,165$22,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,207.762763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Over59c37,101$21,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,211.34358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over59c35,000$20,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,349.961,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Over59c25,200$14,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,210.531947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Under40c21,181$8,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,472.251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under41c18,144$7,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,439.0410146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b88…9856backed Over60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0002343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20012950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under41c8,400$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4447737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Over59c7,500$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0753246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Over59c7,000$4,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,87050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over60c6,196$3,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.428749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Under41c5,598$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295.041435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under40c3,989$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.91,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under40c2,752$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.6611952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Under41c2,515$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.0864242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under41c2,238$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.11714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Under41c2,100$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8615052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over59c2,025$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.2122946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.995435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under41c1,973$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.139258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over59c1,960$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.5944551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under41c1,944$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.2210650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…2d5ebacked Under41c1,843$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c1,502$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.813841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Over60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over59c1,500$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.988348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over31c1,457$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.0941842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under40c1,391$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.0314551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under41c1,345$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.4238147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under40c1,243$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.3317761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c1,184$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.782,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under40c1,142$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.7359450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41014653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over59c999.98$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked Under57c899.99$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under40c854.2$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6883149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over59c840$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.7333554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over34c730.09$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.771,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Over60c702.61$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.6115145%68 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over45c671.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.3212357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under41c621$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6131848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29fb…4930backed Under53c590.26$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102035%7 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over48c576.92$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over58c553.83$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.614850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20591945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over42c499.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9918046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under54c495.72$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.1228652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Over49c458.2$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3217442.5%74 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over54c436.33$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.6216235.2%57 W · 105 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under62c436.18$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.263,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over59c419.22$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.881,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under70c408.31$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.591,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under41c400.43$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.189751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805337.7%20 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c365.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over28c353.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.578658.1%50 W · 36 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under80c339$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9226657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Under61c331.53$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0245069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under41c317.07$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13056553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over60c302$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.824350.2%122 W · 121 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12345749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1267925.3%20 W · 59 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Over58c260$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.21464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under70c256.13$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4714254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fbd…de14backed Over24c249.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over33c247.38$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7289355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over45c244.46$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.194351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over46c243.4$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Under41c237.32$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.31656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under62c237$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.948368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under51c226.71$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.625352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under69c214$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.625240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70e8…776dbacked Over48c206.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d7e…ec67backed Under40c202$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under40c200$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.820855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over32c200$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.659852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8609…a968backed Under41c199.26$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Over35c197.02$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.191650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over38c189.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.351,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Under64c144$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923429.4%10 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x21e7…c843backed Over60c142.8$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under47c140.21$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under60c140.07$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4122250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over20c139$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.21,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under37c134.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9124946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over46c132.29$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.298336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6db…fcfcbacked Over60c128$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under49c127.87$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8639344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Under41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5048157.2%275 W · 206 L+21.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under58c119.6$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.544748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Over41c117.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.53231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under51c115.41$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.866056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.