NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f5bb9fb9af57bcadd5c17b747ebf17bbb6f353d8f4730ff51b17b48f4cc0325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Under | 53c | 34,172$18,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,102.79 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 53c | 17,771$9,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,352.21 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 11,000$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Over | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.96 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 45c | 8,196$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.09 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 54c | 7,630$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Over | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Over | 47c | 5,500$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 46c | 3,695$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.46 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 3,307$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.29 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over | 47c | 3,300$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 47c | 3,300$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 22c | 3,233$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.26 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 2,952$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.33 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 46c | 2,515$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 2,200$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.86 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 46c | 2,102$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.11 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.98 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,808$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.82 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 1,323$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.53 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 23c | 1,321$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.87 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 47c | 1,304$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.04 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 79c | 1,241$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.86 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 23c | 1,241$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.23 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 46c | 1,016$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.57 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 53c | 1,005$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.35 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 75c | 1,003$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.85 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 22c | 993.28$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 68c | 986.75$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.75 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 942.66$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.54 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Under | 75c | 933.33$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 76c | 916.21$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.75 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Over | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Under | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Under | 52c | 846.15$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Over | 47c | 842.2$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed Over | 44c | 827$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 39c | 750.89$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 46c | 736.96$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c07…08c5backed Under | 54c | 714.78$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa6…cbb7backed Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 48c | 600.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 22c | 579.11$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.97 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 46c | 568$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.28 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Under | 55c | 554.55$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 54c | 551.13$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.52 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 47c | 491$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.77 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 22c | 477$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 31c | 393.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Under | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 64c | 377.63$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 75c | 374.99$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 21c | 371.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 21c | 367.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 54c | 362.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.97 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Over | 28c | 357$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 53c | 329.52$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 46c | 314.13$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 47c | 305.6$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…c451backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 77c | 297.55$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Under | 77c | 290$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Over | 48c | 274$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.52 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 22c | 270.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed Over | 46c | 247$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 18c | 241$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Over | 47c | 229.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Under | 66c | 224.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 21c | 221.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 73c | 219.41$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Under | 53c | 204.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 22c | 196.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 76c | 183.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 52c | 178$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 70c | 173.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 62c | 166.08$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Over | 48c | 165$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. AvalancheGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.