NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef88182f6494396820c720cdb0e3b810c92b58fe810941da1421fbeef83bf60c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,448,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,513,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,448,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Golden Knights | 38c | 430,933$165,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265,568.94 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Avalanche | 61c | 90,000$54,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,900 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Avalanche | 63c | 75,221$47,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,389.5 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Golden Knights | 40c | 75,074$30,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,045.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Avalanche | 60c | 62,783$37,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,669.5 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Golden Knights | 38c | 52,456$19,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,522.47 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 35c | 37,586$13,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,431.17 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Avalanche | 63c | 32,000$20,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,160 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Golden Knights | 47c | 31,222$14,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,483.08 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Avalanche | 65c | 30,769$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Avalanche | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,599.99 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Avalanche | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.97 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Golden Knights | 36c | 28,765$10,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,409.62 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 62c | 26,000$16,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,239.92 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Avalanche | 61c | 25,867$15,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,778.83 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche | 62c | 20,785$12,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,797.52 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Avalanche | 61c | 20,655$12,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,601.11 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Avalanche | 19c | 20,098$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.57 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Avalanche | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,199.97 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Golden Knights | 39c | 19,712$7,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,024.19 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche | 37c | 19,179$7,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,102.06 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…e76abacked Avalanche | 60c | 18,455$11,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,073 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Avalanche | 54c | 17,557$9,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,459.65 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Avalanche | 61c | 16,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,749.96 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Avalanche | 64c | 15,625$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 59c | 14,999$8,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,177.53 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Avalanche | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.98 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Avalanche | 61c | 12,472$7,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,609.75 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…5846backed Avalanche | 63c | 10,350$6,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,520.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Golden Knights | 40c | 10,183$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,109.97 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Avalanche | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Avalanche | 62c | 9,991$6,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,173.17 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Avalanche | 61c | 9,900$6,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,039.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Golden Knights | 66c | 9,685$6,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.27 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Avalanche | 5c | 9,341$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Avalanche | 61c | 9,067$5,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,493.31 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Avalanche | 61c | 8,611$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.73 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Golden Knights | 37c | 8,108$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,108.11 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Avalanche | 62c | 7,592$4,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Avalanche | 64c | 7,500$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Avalanche | 61c | 7,467$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,553.26 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Avalanche | 62c | 7,349$4,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,556.18 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Avalanche | 63c | 7,135$4,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.82 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Golden Knights | 47c | 6,686$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.47 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 38c | 6,500$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…843cbacked Avalanche | 64c | 6,048$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Avalanche | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Avalanche | 61c | 6,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Avalanche | 62c | 5,500$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Golden Knights | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Avalanche | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Avalanche | 62c | 5,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Avalanche | 0c | 4,876$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Golden Knights | 39c | 4,872$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche | 62c | 4,800$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.2 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 61c | 4,784$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.32 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Avalanche | 18c | 4,483$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.51 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Avalanche | 63c | 4,320$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.57 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Avalanche | 17c | 4,312$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Avalanche | 61c | 4,300$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Avalanche | 9c | 4,159$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Avalanche | 63c | 4,100$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.78 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Avalanche | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…8f9dbacked Avalanche | 25c | 3,903$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Avalanche | 9c | 3,531$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.99 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a21…4229backed Golden Knights | 37c | 3,433$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Avalanche | 61c | 3,429$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.69 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Avalanche | 64c | 3,300$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…89cebacked Avalanche | 13c | 3,295$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche | 8c | 3,262$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.77 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Avalanche | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Avalanche | 50c | 2,949$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Golden Knights | 78c | 2,870$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.79 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Avalanche | 61c | 2,736$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.57 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights | 36c | 2,700$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.95 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 2,585$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.47 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Avalanche | 61c | 2,582$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,563$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 36c | 2,551$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.49 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Avalanche | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Avalanche | 22c | 2,236$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.57 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Golden Knights | 41c | 2,206$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.02 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche | 10c | 2,193$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.16 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…7784backed Avalanche | 53c | 2,093$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Avalanche | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Avalanche | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Avalanche | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Avalanche | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Avalanche | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Avalanche | 62c | 1,964$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.95 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Avalanche | 1c | 1,946$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Golden Knights | 39c | 1,860$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.46 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Avalanche | 18c | 1,832$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.67 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Golden Knights | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…7450backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,734$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Avalanche | 63c | 1,684$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Golden Knights | 41c | 1,662$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.41 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,656$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanchethis page
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.