TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a6b…7450

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.06
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.08
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,057.77
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18.8
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.91
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.72
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$79.04
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.07
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.6
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.79
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stagebacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28%+$54.88
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$74.15
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs TNC (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagebacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$48.13
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Isurus (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.06
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$41.95
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$44.74
Counter-Strike: TNC vs Clutchain (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked TNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$81.19
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+45%+$43.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$65.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+199.4%+$188.21
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,208.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.79
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$94.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$47.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$96.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.