CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x102223d8e001463af070af1954d8be87dc691878a7b6811c4fe78ba3b1abb271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Isurus, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 4,229$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.98 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Isurus | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Isurus | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 71c | 716.3$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.76 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Isurus | 32c | 611.36$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Isurus | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Isurus | 17c | 443.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Isurus | 20c | 387.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Isurus | 31c | 329.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Isurus | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Isurus | 14c | 295$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Isurus | 19c | 260$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Isurus | 32c | 231.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 231.25$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 185$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…7450backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 57c | 172.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Isurus | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Isurus | 19c | 133.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 128.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Isurus | 18c | 123.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 74c | 113.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Isurus | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Isurus | 42c | 108.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Isurus | 32c | 107.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Isurus | 48c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Isurus | 18c | 95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Isurus | 27c | 90.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Isurus | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Isurus | 22c | 62.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Isurus | 30c | 52.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Isurus | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 66c | 41.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Isurus | 34c | 40.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 58c | 38.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 35.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Isurus | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 23.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 15.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.