Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fdf8134cc3a7028317fc6a7f362702c6acf985e904db29f63c1ee6b591e3f78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $994,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,106,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $994,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked BetBoom Team | 58c | 239,963$139,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,092.37 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Aurora | 42c | 125,082$52,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,511.49 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 41c | 64,095$26,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,278.93 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team | 55c | 54,986$30,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,825.39 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 0c | 33,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 41c | 32,992$13,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,671.42 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed BetBoom Team | 61c | 28,349$17,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,170.29 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed BetBoom Team | 66c | 24,074$15,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,262.53 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora | 40c | 22,222$8,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888.8 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed BetBoom Team | 54c | 21,962$11,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,102.74 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377b…5cb1backed BetBoom Team | 55c | 18,369$10,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,266.05 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 46c | 17,193$7,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,908.61 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 14,523$9,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,241.22 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 45c | 12,691$5,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,710.91 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Aurora | 45c | 11,876$5,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,344.37 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…4cfabacked Aurora | 3c | 10,996$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.24 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 34c | 10,282$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.36 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Aurora | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Aurora | 45c | 10,000$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 46c | 10,000$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 19c | 9,893$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.28 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed BetBoom Team | 59c | 9,875$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.94 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 42c | 9,652$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.84 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed BetBoom Team | 58c | 9,302$5,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.55 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 14c | 8,650$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.64 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked BetBoom Team | 59c | 7,989$4,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.76 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked BetBoom Team | 56c | 7,455$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.1 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 7,148$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.32 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Aurora | 44c | 6,796$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.26 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed BetBoom Team | 54c | 6,755$3,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.15 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Aurora | 42c | 6,630$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.67 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 45c | 5,818$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.18 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 41c | 5,813$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.27 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Aurora | 45c | 5,771$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.1 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 42c | 5,747$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.9 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Aurora | 40c | 5,657$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.11 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Aurora | 1c | 5,555$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed BetBoom Team | 59c | 5,365$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.53 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 42c | 5,275$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.55 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 40c | 5,011$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.95 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 44c | 4,972$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.8 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Aurora | 22c | 4,903$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.72 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed BetBoom Team | 59c | 4,756$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.97 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Aurora | 9c | 4,691$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.57 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Aurora | 48c | 4,486$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.82 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 35c | 4,424$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.15 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 31c | 4,128$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.7 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed BetBoom Team | 65c | 4,097$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.03 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Aurora | 47c | 4,085$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.14 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora | 28c | 4,005$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.21 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed BetBoom Team | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.05 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 3,986$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.84 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BetBoom Team | 64c | 3,787$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.12 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 37c | 3,550$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.6 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Aurora | 8c | 3,529$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.76 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed BetBoom Team | 72c | 3,447$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.21 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4ca5backed Aurora | 17c | 3,352$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.97 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 35c | 3,322$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.97 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed BetBoom Team | 59c | 3,280$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.85 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Aurora | 46c | 3,250$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 44c | 3,130$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.5 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed BetBoom Team | 59c | 2,926$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.74 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora | 42c | 2,902$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.05 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…7f92backed Aurora | 34c | 2,803$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Aurora | 40c | 2,684$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.51 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Aurora | 42c | 2,541$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.63 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Aurora | 41c | 2,533$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.55 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 2,501$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.79 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Aurora | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 41c | 2,499$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.64 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Aurora | 33c | 2,499$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked BetBoom Team | 55c | 2,475$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.97 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked BetBoom Team | 65c | 2,414$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.2 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed BetBoom Team | 61c | 2,374$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.73 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Aurora | 43c | 2,246$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 44c | 2,196$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.4 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Aurora | 38c | 2,167$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.91 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 45c | 2,131$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.42 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked BetBoom Team | 65c | 2,101$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.68 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Aurora | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Aurora | 41c | 1,877$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.31 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked BetBoom Team | 73c | 1,838$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.44 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora | 44c | 1,750$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.48 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Aurora | 42c | 1,737$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.69 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Aurora | 41c | 1,723$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.61 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora | 42c | 1,689$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.42 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed BetBoom Team | 59c | 1,653$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.82 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Aurora | 46c | 1,643$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.17 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed BetBoom Team | 69c | 1,638$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.5 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…e19abacked Aurora | 41c | 1,552$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 1,519$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.76 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed BetBoom Team | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Aurora | 42c | 1,482$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.31 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora | 45c | 1,468$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.1 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Aurora | 31c | 1,449$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.02 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed BetBoom Team | 55c | 1,422$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.95 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked BetBoom Team | 80c | 1,418$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.77 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 1,345$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.23 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed BetBoom Team | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)BetBoom Team won
- Game Handicap: BB (-2.5) vs Aurora (+2.5)BetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.