TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Aurora
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$815,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$874,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $815,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a5c…a375backed Aurora27c173,148$47,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,363.323438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed BetBoom Team70c117,472$81,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,646.131070%7 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+200.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team56c106,160$59,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,771.581,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora46c99,284$46,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,057.533746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora42c30,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,599.9940051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked BetBoom Team53c25,153$13,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,822.0936041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x672f…6873backed Aurora35c23,782$8,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,352.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed BetBoom Team54c20,000$10,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,30026540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Aurora43c15,000$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,449.9910641.5%44 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked BetBoom Team61c14,727$8,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,764.7810751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba06…8024backed BetBoom Team58c13,886$8,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,880.0415950.3%80 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed BetBoom Team71c13,480$9,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,895.7415951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked BetBoom Team57c13,272$7,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,768.254650%23 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Aurora44c12,548$5,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,521.1227645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked BetBoom Team56c12,170$6,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,354.87058.6%41 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora15c11,761$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.531,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Aurora45c11,320$5,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,135.9622842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora17c11,281$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.981,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Aurora46c11,233$5,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,167.1242650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Aurora8c10,299$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.8823546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac51…a1fbbacked Aurora0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-40.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Aurora22c9,865$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.041,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…554bbacked BetBoom Team76c9,399$7,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.2610262.7%64 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Aurora47c9,336$4,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,356.5811557.4%66 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed BetBoom Team54c9,000$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1403951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Aurora15c8,068$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.646725.4%17 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed BetBoom Team72c7,750$5,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.111359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked Aurora46c7,742$3,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,580.7212630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed BetBoom Team53c5,736$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,69622644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Aurora1c5,555$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.55449.1%4 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-81.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked BetBoom Team54c5,402$2,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.023154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Aurora3c5,250$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.59428.7%27 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Aurora9c5,196$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.631942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733b…7260backed BetBoom Team57c5,124$2,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.442483.3%20 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30a9…dc10backed Aurora42c4,507$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe705…f910backed BetBoom Team54c4,333$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.184348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Aurora10c4,043$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.273745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked BetBoom Team70c3,945$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.559257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed BetBoom Team71c3,798$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.298042.5%34 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora38c3,677$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.5556852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c3…5947backed Aurora28c3,474$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.211926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-51.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked BetBoom Team80c3,085$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.9948539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Aurora17c2,936$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.867043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88f4…9d7abacked Aurora37c2,928$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.2933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Aurora16c2,771$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.741,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed BetBoom Team64c2,760$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.1434860.1%209 W · 139 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf8…2f4abacked BetBoom Team71c2,751$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.875034%17 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-8.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed Aurora22c2,597$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.849754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora32c2,457$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.0589440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd459…4757backed Aurora11c2,417$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.833748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b97…5521backed Aurora21c2,400$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.432524%6 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Aurora21c2,279$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.4871342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked BetBoom Team77c2,268$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.4230155.5%167 W · 134 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Aurora7c2,225$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6816641.6%69 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Aurora19c2,147$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9847046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked BetBoom Team57c2,051$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.918959.6%53 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Aurora14c2,039$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.115824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed BetBoom Team71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed BetBoom Team60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80023650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe438…e80cbacked Aurora11c2,000$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2285910.2%6 W · 53 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked BetBoom Team57c1,981$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.467060%42 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Aurora17c1,947$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.1956548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora36c1,787$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.0896645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked BetBoom Team55c1,768$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.8320367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x377b…5cb1backed BetBoom Team67c1,764$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.181968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked BetBoom Team76c1,720$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.812146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Aurora7c1,649$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2915739.5%62 W · 95 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed BetBoom Team55c1,558$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.8820452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Aurora45c1,530$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.9364744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked BetBoom Team61c1,522$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.2129160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Aurora9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13516725.7%43 W · 124 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora18c1,474$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.771,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Aurora46c1,464$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.615747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed BetBoom Team70c1,387$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5922363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked BetBoom Team56c1,349$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.55354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b79…b838backed Aurora26c1,341$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.661931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed BetBoom Team66c1,334$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.985952.5%31 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed BetBoom Team54c1,333$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.1830336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Aurora15c1,304$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1870052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Aurora1c1,250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked BetBoom Team79c1,247$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9415949.7%79 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed BetBoom Team70c1,200$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.6818544.9%83 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora26c1,182$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.692,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked BetBoom Team56c1,161$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.7513157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Aurora4c1,084$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3550749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Aurora45c1,074$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.559254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe66e…946bbacked Aurora10c1,073$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0321043.8%92 W · 118 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team53c1,067$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.41,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed Aurora48c1,008$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.4210040%40 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed Aurora11c1,003$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6623050.9%117 W · 113 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked BetBoom Team54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed BetBoom Team54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46017146.8%80 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed BetBoom Team55c984.47$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.0167555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed Aurora8c960.22$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.78277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed BetBoom Team75c948.33$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0310852.8%57 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1190…936abacked Aurora44c900.37$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x709a…52e5backed BetBoom Team55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44bc…ed31backed BetBoom Team55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe993…f57dbacked Aurora44c899.99$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x730e…fca0backed Aurora23c872.29$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3720535.1%72 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.