TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4667…cab0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
263
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT13355.6%74 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,669Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,669.16
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,427Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$1,573.24
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,250
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,005.22
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,855Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,645
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$3,375
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,530
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$922.44
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$1,280.2
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$900
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,627.73
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,080
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$980
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$980
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$829.64
Spread: Suns (-7.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,640Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$3,359.98
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$489.97
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+185.7%+$928.57
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,644Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$1,644
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$887.48
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,935
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,489Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,802.21
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,648.4
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$176.48
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$965.8
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,860Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,140
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,578Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,578.49
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,440
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,599.58
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,512Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,413.64
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,335.29
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,721Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,653.77
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,560
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,500
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,581Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,692.5
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,588.71
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,688Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,112
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,892Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+163.4%+$3,092.26
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$585
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,700
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,875.14
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+82%+$735.6
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,349.99
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,379.99
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$542.55
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,879.99
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,039.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,409.97
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,470
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,726Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$2,245.72
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.94
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,741Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$2,095.45
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$1,368.79
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$6,539.96
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$979.99
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,440
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+156.4%+$127.49
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+46.8%+$2,923.77
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,770Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,770
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$519.99
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,919.05
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+150%+$600
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$2,750
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,380
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,679.94
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,679.98
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$4,960
Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,040.82
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+100%+$2,000
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Spread: Manchester City (-0.5)backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$5,000
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+155.4%+$4,661.32
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+116.4%+$2,327.68
Spread: Manchester United (-0.5)backed Manchester United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Manchester United vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9,599.99
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+75.3%+$3,013.22
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$9,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$9,988.79
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,942.39
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,799Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+67.4%+$5,252.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+232.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+85.7%+$342.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5)backed Team Liquid Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$510
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$4,800
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19,882Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16,267.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.