NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec2fbccdb3275ab8301568e39c7d9da84ba86650aca5a1f32f7fce2ba87f1d5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Pelicans, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Pelicans | 50c | 80,372$40,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,186.12 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Heat | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.94 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…d83fbacked Heat | 51c | 21,000$10,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,290 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…1513backed Pelicans | 49c | 20,628$10,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,107.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 50c | 14,919$7,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,432.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 51c | 14,408$7,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,037.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Heat | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 49c | 8,112$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.86 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Pelicans | 50c | 8,081$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.5 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Heat | 50c | 7,451$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.98 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Heat | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Heat | 49c | 6,114$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.99 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Heat | 49c | 5,697$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.64 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,692$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.84 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Heat | 49c | 5,673$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.41 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Heat | 49c | 5,432$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.04 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 49c | 5,349$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Heat | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Pelicans | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Heat | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Heat | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,682$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.32 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,044$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.75 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans | 50c | 960.11$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.61 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 62c | 693.76$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.76 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…4f4ebacked Pelicans | 49c | 659.18$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Pelicans | 49c | 642.86$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Pelicans | 51c | 618.6$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Pelicans | 50c | 580$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pelicans | 49c | 561.87$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.32 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Heat | 50c | 529.1$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.55 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 49c | 521$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.63 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Heat | 53c | 472.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.98 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 429$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.79 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 51c | 420.88$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…478ebacked Pelicans | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans | 40c | 405.91$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.74 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…029fbacked Pelicans | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pelicans | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…8390backed Heat | 68c | 377.56$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Heat | 51c | 343$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.07 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…6192backed Heat | 51c | 288.24$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.24 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Heat | 50c | 279.85$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Heat | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Pelicans | 33c | 237.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Pelicans | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Pelicans | 50c | 207$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb913…7986backed Heat | 51c | 202$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016d…9e16backed Pelicans | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat | 53c | 198.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Heat | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Pelicans | 47c | 193.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Heat | 64c | 174.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Heat | 50c | 146.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Heat | 51c | 145.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Heat | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Heat | 50c | 122$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Pelicans | 49c | 112.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Heat | 49c | 103.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Heat | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Heat | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pelicans | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Heat | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heat | 50c | 95.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Heat | 52c | 90.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Heat | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Heat | 55c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Pelicans | 43c | 81.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pelicans | 46c | 81.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pelicans | 45c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Heat | 49c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Pelicans | 44c | 67.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans | 40c | 65.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Heat | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Heat | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Heat | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Pelicans | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Pelicans | 48c | 58.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Heat | 52c | 58.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pelicans | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Heat | 52c | 49.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…c7abbacked Pelicans | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Pelicans | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777a…a6bfbacked Heat | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Heat | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Heat | 49c | 44.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Heat | 51c | 42.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Heat | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb8…8557backed Pelicans | 49c | 38.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…0bdcbacked Heat | 51c | 38.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Heat | 52c | 37.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 44c | 37.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)this page
- Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Heat vs. PelicansHeat won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- Simone Fontecchio: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)Heat won
- Yves Missi: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.